Match

Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Lower.com Field, Columbus, Ohio

Columbus CrewInter Miami

The Footlab model makes Columbus Crew the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Inter Miami. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami?

Inter Miami starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,909 vs 1,808).

Columbus Crew win43 %
Draw24 %
Inter Miami win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Columbus Crew have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Inter Miami have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Columbus Crew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Nashville SC(away)2-3Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026CF Montreal(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026Charlotte(away)1-3Major League Soccer
Aug 11, 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home)1-1Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026CF Pachuca(home)2-1Leagues Cup
Inter Miami
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Toronto FC(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026Philadelphia Union(away)2-2Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026Nashville SC(away)1-4Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026Leon(home)2-3Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026Monterrey(home)1-2Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Columbus Crew win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Inter Miami win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Inter Miami 2-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
May 31, 2025Inter Miami 5-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Apr 19, 2025Columbus Crew 0-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
Oct 2, 2024Columbus Crew 2-3 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
Aug 13, 2024Columbus Crew 3-2 Inter MiamiLeagues Cup
Jun 19, 2024Inter Miami 2-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Columbus Crew score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Inter Miami score 2.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Columbus Crew1.51.6212/1510/15
Inter Miami2.52.2213/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Columbus Crew sit 14th in Major League Soccer (20 points from 21 matches) and Inter Miami sit 2nd (39 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Inter Miami211164494039
14Columbus Crew215511303620

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami?
The Footlab model makes Columbus Crew the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Inter Miami.
Where and when is Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami played?
Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami is played on September 27, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Lower.com Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Columbus Crew and Inter Miami

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