Match

Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Lower.com Field, Columbus, Ohio

Columbus CrewToronto FC

The Footlab AI model makes Columbus Crew the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Toronto FC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Columbus Crew wins, the most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?

Columbus Crew starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,901 vs 1,703).

61%22%17%
Columbus Crew winDrawToronto FC win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Columbus Crew

3-4-3
  1. 8S. Rodríguez
  2. 10Brais Méndez
  3. 77Josef Martínez
  1. 16T. Habroune
  2. 23M. Farsi
  3. 21A. Zaroury
  4. 20André Gomes
  1. 18M. Amundsen
  2. 25S. Zawadzki
  3. 31S. Moreira
  1. 28P. Schulte

Toronto FC

4-2-3-1
  1. 9J. Sargent
  1. 20D. Sallói
  2. 6N. Dorsch
  3. 7T. Corbeanu
  4. 71M. Cimermancic
  5. 11D. Etienne
  1. 3Matheus Pereira
  2. 22R. Laryea
  3. 13B. Kuscevic
  4. 25W. Zimmerman
  1. 1L. Gavran

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:22 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Columbus Crew have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Toronto FC have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Columbus Crew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Inter Miami(home)2-1Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2026CF Montreal(away)2-0Major League Soccer
Sep 16, 2026Orlando City SC(home)2-1US Open Cup
Sep 12, 2026New York Red Bulls(home)0-1Major League Soccer
Sep 9, 2026DC United(away)1-2Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Nashville SC(away)0-2Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026St. Louis City(away)1-3Major League Soccer
Sep 12, 2026Orlando City SC(away)0-3Major League Soccer
Sep 9, 2026Nashville SC(home)2-1Major League Soccer
Sep 5, 2026Chicago Fire(home)4-4Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Columbus Crew wins, 2 draws, 1 Toronto FC win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Toronto FC 2-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Sep 20, 2025Columbus Crew 1-1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
Aug 16, 2025Toronto FC 1-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Sep 18, 2024Toronto FC 0-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Jul 6, 2024Columbus Crew 4-0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
Feb 10, 2024Toronto FC 2-4 Columbus CrewFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Columbus Crew score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Toronto FC score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Columbus Crew1.51.5211/1511/15
Toronto FC1.31.8211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Columbus Crew sit 12th in Major League Soccer (29 points from 27 matches) and Toronto FC sit 13th (29 points from 27 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Columbus Crew278514394329
13Toronto FC2761110395129

A question about Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?
The Footlab AI model makes Columbus Crew the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Toronto FC.
Where and when is Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC played?
Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Lower.com Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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