Where and when is Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC played?

Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Lower.com Field, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Lower.com Field, Columbus, Ohio

Columbus Crew

Toronto FC

The Footlab model makes Columbus Crew the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Toronto FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Columbus Crew (1,808) and Toronto FC (1,804).

Columbus Crew win50 %

Draw26 %

Toronto FC win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Columbus Crew have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Toronto FC have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Columbus Crew
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Nashville SC(away)	2-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	CF Montreal(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	Charlotte(away)	1-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 11, 2026	U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home)	1-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026	CF Pachuca(home)	2-1	Leagues Cup

Toronto FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Inter Miami(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Charlotte(home)	3-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	New England Revolution(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Jul 31, 2026	New York City FC(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026	DC United(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Columbus Crew win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Toronto FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 21, 2026	Toronto FC 2-1 Columbus Crew	Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2025	Columbus Crew 1-1 Toronto FC	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2025	Toronto FC 1-1 Columbus Crew	Major League Soccer
Sep 18, 2024	Toronto FC 0-2 Columbus Crew	Major League Soccer
Jul 6, 2024	Columbus Crew 4-0 Toronto FC	Major League Soccer
Feb 10, 2024	Toronto FC 2-4 Columbus Crew	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Columbus Crew score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Toronto FC score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Columbus Crew	1.5	1.6	2	12/15	10/15
Toronto FC	1.5	1.9	2	13/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Columbus Crew sit 14th in Major League Soccer (20 points from 21 matches) and Toronto FC sit 10th (24 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Toronto FC	21	5	9	7	31	37	24
14	Columbus Crew	21	5	5	11	30	36	20

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?: The Footlab model makes Columbus Crew the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Toronto FC.
Where and when is Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC played?: Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Lower.com Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.