Where and when is Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution played?

Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Subaru Park, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Subaru Park, Chester, Pennsylvania

Philadelphia Union

New England Revolution

The Footlab model makes Philadelphia Union the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for New England Revolution. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Philadelphia Union (1,782) and New England Revolution (1,735).

Philadelphia Union win52 %

Draw23 %

New England Revolution win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Philadelphia Union have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; New England Revolution have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Philadelphia Union
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Austin(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Inter Miami(home)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	New York City FC(away)	3-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Santos Laguna(home)	0-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Necaxa(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup

New England Revolution
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	New York City FC(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	DC United(away)	3-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	Toronto FC(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 8, 2026	Houston Dynamo(home)	0-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026	CF Montreal(away)	2-2	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Philadelphia Union win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 New England Revolution win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	New England Revolution 2-1 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2025	Philadelphia Union 1-0 New England Revolution	Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2025	New England Revolution 0-2 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2024	Philadelphia Union 5-1 New England Revolution	Major League Soccer
May 18, 2024	New England Revolution 0-3 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer
Feb 14, 2024	New England Revolution 0-0 Philadelphia Union	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Philadelphia Union score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; New England Revolution score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Philadelphia Union	1.7	1.8	2	10/15	8/15
New England Revolution	1.5	1.3	3	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Philadelphia Union sit 12th in Major League Soccer (21 points from 21 matches) and New England Revolution sit 4th (33 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	New England Revolution	20	10	3	7	32	25	33
12	Philadelphia Union	21	5	6	10	31	38	21

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?: The Footlab model makes Philadelphia Union the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for New England Revolution.
Where and when is Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution played?: Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Subaru Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.