Where and when is FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes played?

FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes is played on October 25, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Frisco, Texas

FC Dallas

San Jose Earthquakes

The Footlab model makes FC Dallas the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for San Jose Earthquakes. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?

FC Dallas starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,852 vs 1,747).

FC Dallas win54 %

Draw22 %

San Jose Earthquakes win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Dallas have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; San Jose Earthquakes have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Dallas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Vancouver Whitecaps(away)	0-5	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Real Salt Lake(away)	4-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026	Austin(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Toluca(away)	1-3	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Guadalajara Chivas(away)	1-0	Leagues Cup

San Jose Earthquakes
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Minnesota United FC(home)	1-5	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Los Angeles Galaxy(away)	0-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	St. Louis City(home)	1-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026	FC Cincinnati(away)	2-4	Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026	Los Angeles Galaxy(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Dallas win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 San Jose Earthquakes win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	San Jose Earthquakes 2-3 FC Dallas	Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2025	San Jose Earthquakes 2-2 FC Dallas	Major League Soccer
Jun 26, 2025	FC Dallas 2-4 San Jose Earthquakes	Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024	San Jose Earthquakes 3-2 FC Dallas	Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024	FC Dallas 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes	Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023	FC Dallas 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Dallas score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; San Jose Earthquakes score 1.7 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Dallas	1.7	1.6	4	9/15	10/15
San Jose Earthquakes	1.7	2.3	0	12/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Dallas sit 5th in Major League Soccer (33 points from 21 matches) and San Jose Earthquakes sit 4th (33 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	San Jose Earthquakes	21	10	3	8	39	33	33
5	FC Dallas	21	9	6	6	38	34	33

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?: The Footlab model makes FC Dallas the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for San Jose Earthquakes.
Where and when is FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes played?: FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes is played on October 25, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.