Where and when is Orlando City SC vs New York City FC played?

Orlando City SC vs New York City FC is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Inter&Co Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Orlando City SC vs New York City FC: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando, Florida

Orlando City SC

New York City FC

The Footlab model makes Orlando City SC the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for New York City FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Orlando City SC vs New York City FC?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Orlando City SC (1,786) and New York City FC (1,793).

Orlando City SC win42 %

Draw25 %

New York City FC win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orlando City SC have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; New York City FC have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Orlando City SC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Real Salt Lake(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Chicago Fire(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	FC Cincinnati(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	Atletico San Luis(home)	2-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Leon(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup

New York City FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	New England Revolution(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	FC Cincinnati(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Philadelphia Union(home)	2-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Necaxa(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Cruz Azul(away)	1-2	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Orlando City SC win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 New York City FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 7, 2026	New York City FC 5-0 Orlando City SC	Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2025	Orlando City SC 1-2 New York City FC	Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2025	New York City FC 2-1 Orlando City SC	Major League Soccer
Jul 20, 2024	Orlando City SC 1-1 New York City FC	Major League Soccer
Jun 28, 2024	New York City FC 4-2 Orlando City SC	Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2023	New York City FC 2-0 Orlando City SC	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: New York City FC vs Orlando City SC on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Orlando City SC score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; New York City FC score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Orlando City SC	2.1	1.9	2	12/15	11/15
New York City FC	1.3	1.3	3	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Orlando City SC sit 9th in Major League Soccer (24 points from 21 matches) and New York City FC sit 7th (26 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	New York City FC	20	7	5	8	34	29	26
9	Orlando City SC	21	7	3	11	34	51	24

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Orlando City SC vs New York City FC?: The Footlab model makes Orlando City SC the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for New York City FC.
Where and when is Orlando City SC vs New York City FC played?: Orlando City SC vs New York City FC is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Inter&Co Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.