Match

New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, New Jersey

New York Red BullsInter Miami

The Footlab AI model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for New York Red Bulls. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?

Inter Miami starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (2,011 vs 1,812).

18%19%63%
New York Red Bulls winDrawInter Miami win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

New York Red Bulls

4-3-3
  1. 7C. Cowell
  2. 11J. Ruvalcaba
  3. 16J. Hall
  1. 37M. Sofo
  2. 15A. Mehmeti
  3. 10E. Forsberg
  1. 14J. Bazán
  2. 12D. Nealis
  3. 26T. Parker
  4. 59D. Padelford
  1. 34E. Horvath

Inter Miami

4-3-3
  1. 10L. Messi
  2. 9L. Suárez
  3. 19G. Berterame
  1. 7R. De Paul
  2. 42Y. Bright
  3. 8T. Segovia
  1. 5Casemiro
  2. 4F. Mura
  3. 37M. Falcón
  4. 15F. Caicedo
  1. 97D. St. Clair

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 04:18 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New York Red Bulls have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Inter Miami have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

New York Red Bulls
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 30, 2026St. Louis City(home)0-3Major League Soccer
Sep 18, 2026New York City FC(away)1-0Major League Soccer
Sep 12, 2026Columbus Crew(away)1-0Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026Los Angeles FC(away)0-2Major League Soccer
Sep 6, 2026Seattle Sounders(away)0-0Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Columbus Crew(away)1-2Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026San Diego(home)2-2Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2026Cruz Azul(home)2-0Campeones Cup
Sep 12, 2026Nashville SC(home)2-2Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026Chicago Fire(away)1-1Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 New York Red Bulls win, 1 draw, 4 Inter Miami wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Inter Miami 2-2 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
Jul 19, 2025New York Red Bulls 1-5 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
May 3, 2025Inter Miami 4-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
May 4, 2024Inter Miami 6-2 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
Mar 23, 2024New York Red Bulls 4-0 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
Aug 26, 2023New York Red Bulls 0-2 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

New York Red Bulls score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Inter Miami score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
New York Red Bulls1.01.538/157/15
Inter Miami2.11.8213/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

New York Red Bulls sit 8th in Major League Soccer (33 points from 27 matches) and Inter Miami sit 3rd (46 points from 27 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Inter Miami2712105645046
8New York Red Bulls279612345133

A question about New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?
The Footlab AI model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for New York Red Bulls.
Where and when is New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami played?
New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami is played on October 24, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Sports Illustrated Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: New York Red Bulls and Inter Miami

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