Where and when is New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami played?

New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami is played on October 24, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Sports Illustrated Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, New Jersey

New York Red Bulls

Inter Miami

The Footlab model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for New York Red Bulls. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?

Inter Miami starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,909 vs 1,713).

New York Red Bulls win33 %

Draw22 %

Inter Miami win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New York Red Bulls have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Inter Miami have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

New York Red Bulls
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chicago Fire(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Nashville SC(home)	0-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	Atlanta United FC(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026	Orlando City SC(home)	3-2	Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026	Charlotte(home)	0-2	Major League Soccer

Inter Miami
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Toronto FC(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Philadelphia Union(away)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Nashville SC(away)	1-4	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	Leon(home)	2-3	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Monterrey(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 New York Red Bulls win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Inter Miami win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Inter Miami 2-2 New York Red Bulls	Major League Soccer
Jul 19, 2025	New York Red Bulls 1-5 Inter Miami	Major League Soccer
May 3, 2025	Inter Miami 4-1 New York Red Bulls	Major League Soccer
May 4, 2024	Inter Miami 6-2 New York Red Bulls	Major League Soccer
Mar 23, 2024	New York Red Bulls 4-0 Inter Miami	Major League Soccer
Aug 26, 2023	New York Red Bulls 0-2 Inter Miami	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

New York Red Bulls score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Inter Miami score 2.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
New York Red Bulls	1.4	2.1	0	11/15	9/15
Inter Miami	2.5	2.2	2	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

New York Red Bulls sit 8th in Major League Soccer (26 points from 21 matches) and Inter Miami sit 2nd (39 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Inter Miami	21	11	6	4	49	40	39
8	New York Red Bulls	21	7	5	9	31	43	26

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?: The Footlab model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for New York Red Bulls.
Where and when is New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami played?: New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami is played on October 24, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Sports Illustrated Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.