DC United vs FC Cincinnati: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Audi Field, Washington, District of Columbia
The Footlab model makes FC Cincinnati the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for DC United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win DC United vs FC Cincinnati?
FC Cincinnati starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,852 vs 1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, DC United have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; FC Cincinnati have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 1-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | New England Revolution(home) | 0-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nashville SC(home) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Toronto FC(home) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | New York City FC(home) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Orlando City SC(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atlas(home) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 DC United win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FC Cincinnati win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2025 | FC Cincinnati 1-2 DC United | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 12, 2025 | DC United 0-1 FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 3, 2024 | DC United 2-3 FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 10, 2024 | FC Cincinnati 0-0 DC United | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 24, 2023 | DC United 3-0 FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer |
| May 6, 2023 | FC Cincinnati 2-1 DC United | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: FC Cincinnati vs DC United on May 31, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
DC United score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Cincinnati score 2.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DC United | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Cincinnati | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
DC United sit 11th in Major League Soccer (24 points from 21 matches) and FC Cincinnati sit 6th (31 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 47 | 31 |
| 11 | DC United | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 36 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for DC United vs FC Cincinnati?
- The Footlab model makes FC Cincinnati the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for DC United.
- Where and when is DC United vs FC Cincinnati played?
- DC United vs FC Cincinnati is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Audi Field, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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