Match

DC United vs FC Cincinnati: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Audi Field, Washington, District of Columbia

DC UnitedFC Cincinnati

The Footlab AI model makes FC Cincinnati the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for DC United. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Cincinnati wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win DC United vs FC Cincinnati?

FC Cincinnati starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,900 vs 1,766).

35%23%42%
DC United winDrawFC Cincinnati win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for DC United vs FC Cincinnati

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

DC United

4-4-2
  1. 7Peglow
  2. 11L. Munteanu
  1. 21A. Dozzell
  2. 2K. Nono
  3. 25J. Hopkins
  4. 23B. Servania
  1. 3L. Bartlett
  2. 6K. Kurokawa
  3. 5S. Hefti
  4. 15K. Rowles
  1. 1S. Johnson

FC Cincinnati

3-5-2
  1. 9K. Denkey
  2. 16T. Barlow
  1. 22G. Valenzuela
  2. 17K. Mboma Dem
  3. 10Evander
  4. 5O. Nwobodo
  5. 66E. Echenique
  1. 11S. Gidi
  2. 4N. Hagglund
  3. 12M. Robinson
  1. 18R. Celentano

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:45 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, DC United have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; FC Cincinnati have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

DC United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 30, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 27, 2026Vancouver Whitecaps(away)3-3Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2026Charlotte(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Sep 12, 2026Atlanta United FC(home)0-0Major League Soccer
Sep 9, 2026Columbus Crew(home)2-1Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 26, 2026CF Montreal(away)1-3Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Houston Dynamo(away)2-2Major League Soccer
Sep 12, 2026Charlotte(home)3-3Major League Soccer
Sep 9, 2026Philadelphia Union(away)0-5Major League Soccer
Aug 30, 2026Nashville SC(away)0-4Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 DC United wins, 1 draw, 3 FC Cincinnati wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 31, 2025FC Cincinnati 1-2 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
Apr 12, 2025DC United 0-1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
Jul 3, 2024DC United 2-3 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
Mar 10, 2024FC Cincinnati 0-0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
Jun 24, 2023DC United 3-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
May 6, 2023FC Cincinnati 2-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: FC Cincinnati vs DC United on May 31, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

DC United score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Cincinnati score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
DC United1.31.7211/159/15
FC Cincinnati1.92.1112/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

DC United sit 11th in Major League Soccer (30 points from 26 matches) and FC Cincinnati sit 10th (33 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10FC Cincinnati26899556433
11DC United266128344230

A question about DC United vs FC Cincinnati?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for DC United vs FC Cincinnati?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Cincinnati the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for DC United.
Where and when is DC United vs FC Cincinnati played?
DC United vs FC Cincinnati is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Audi Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: DC United and FC Cincinnati

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