Where and when is Real Ávila vs Calamocha played?

Real Ávila vs Calamocha is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Ávila vs Calamocha: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, Ávila

Real Ávila

Calamocha

The Footlab model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Calamocha. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Ávila vs Calamocha?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Real Ávila (1,890) and Calamocha (1,885).

Real Ávila win44 %

Draw28 %

Calamocha win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Ávila have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Calamocha have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Ávila
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 12, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Unionistas de Salamanca(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	0-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Racing Santander II(away)	1-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026	Gimnástica Segoviana(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Calamocha
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Cariñena(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
May 3, 2026	Robres(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Apr 26, 2026	Huesca II(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Apr 19, 2026	Cuarte(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Apr 12, 2026	Illueca(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 17

How many goals should we expect?

Real Ávila score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Calamocha score 1.2 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Real Ávila	1.6	1.7	5	9/15	11/15
Calamocha	1.2	0.3	12	3/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Ávila vs Calamocha?: The Footlab model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Calamocha.
Where and when is Real Ávila vs Calamocha played?: Real Ávila vs Calamocha is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.