Real Ávila vs Calamocha: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, Ávila
The Footlab AI model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Calamocha. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Ávila wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Ávila vs Calamocha?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Real Ávila (1,887) and Calamocha (1,856).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Ávila vs Calamocha
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Ávila
4-4-2- 9D. Lorenzo
- 12Carlos Pérez
- 30M. Sarr
- 7Runy
- 16M. Ruiz
- 8Filipe Sissé
- 23G. L. Urbina
- 5C. Pascual
- 22F. Garrido Diaz
- 3Michael Ngaah
- 1O. Lopez
Calamocha
Not enough data to predict the Calamocha lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 08:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Ávila have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Calamocha have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Numancia(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Peña Sport(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ebro(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Osasuna II(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Tudelano(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | UD Logroñés II(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Ávila score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Calamocha score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Ávila | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Calamocha | 1.0 | 1.1 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Real Ávila | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Real Ávila vs Calamocha?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Ávila vs Calamocha?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Calamocha.
- Where and when is Real Ávila vs Calamocha played?
- Real Ávila vs Calamocha is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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