Match

Real Ávila vs Calamocha: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, Ávila

Real ÁvilaCalamocha

The Footlab AI model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Calamocha. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Ávila wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,818 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Ávila vs Calamocha?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Real Ávila (1,887) and Calamocha (1,856).

49%26%25%
Real Ávila winDrawCalamocha win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Real Ávila vs Calamocha

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Real Ávila

4-4-2
  1. 9D. Lorenzo
  2. 12Carlos Pérez
  1. 30M. Sarr
  2. 7Runy
  3. 16M. Ruiz
  4. 8Filipe Sissé
  1. 23G. L. Urbina
  2. 5C. Pascual
  3. 22F. Garrido Diaz
  4. 3Michael Ngaah
  1. 1O. Lopez

Calamocha

Not enough data to predict the Calamocha lineup.

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 08:02 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Ávila have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Calamocha have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Ávila
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Real Valladolid II(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2026Numancia(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026SS Reyes(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Getafe II(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 20, 2026Calvo Sotelo(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Calamocha
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Peña Sport(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 10, 2026Ebro(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 4, 2026Osasuna II(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 27, 2026Tudelano(home)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 20, 2026UD Logroñés II(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Real Ávila score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Calamocha score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Ávila1.31.649/1511/15
Calamocha1.01.183/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Real Ávila72147117

A question about Real Ávila vs Calamocha?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Ávila vs Calamocha?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Calamocha.
Where and when is Real Ávila vs Calamocha played?
Real Ávila vs Calamocha is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Real Ávila and Calamocha

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