Match

Atlético Astorga vs RSD Alcalá: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Eragudina, Astorga

Atlético AstorgaRSD Alcalá

The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for RSD Alcalá. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Astorga wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,797 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Astorga vs RSD Alcalá?

A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Atlético Astorga (1,880) and RSD Alcalá (1,879).

47%27%26%
Atlético Astorga winDrawRSD Alcalá win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Atlético Astorga vs RSD Alcalá

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Atlético Astorga

Not enough data to predict the Atlético Astorga lineup.

RSD Alcalá

4-3-3
  1. 10Izan
  2. 23I. Robledo
  3. 19N. Sanchez
  1. 11Javi Hernández
  2. 7J. Arribas
  3. 8S. Marcos
  1. 22D. Nieto
  2. 15Chete
  3. 4H. Torres
  4. 12M. Lopez
  1. 1I. Gil

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:27 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Astorga have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; RSD Alcalá have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Astorga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Compostela(away)1-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 10, 2026Ourense CF(home)4-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Amorebieta(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Sestao River(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Marino de Luanco(home)3-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
RSD Alcalá
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Real Madrid III(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2026Calvo Sotelo(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026Navalcarnero(home)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Salamanca UDS(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 20, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(home)5-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Astorga score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atlético Astorga1.11.346/156/15
RSD Alcalá1.51.077/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10RSD Alcalá722310108

A question about Atlético Astorga vs RSD Alcalá?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Astorga vs RSD Alcalá?
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for RSD Alcalá.
Where and when is Atlético Astorga vs RSD Alcalá played?
Atlético Astorga vs RSD Alcalá is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Eragudina, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Atlético Astorga and RSD Alcalá

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