Where and when is Guadalajara vs Conquense played?

Guadalajara vs Conquense is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pedro Escartín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Guadalajara vs Conquense: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Pedro Escartín, Guadalajara

Guadalajara

Conquense

The Footlab model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Conquense. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Guadalajara vs Conquense?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Guadalajara (1,881) and Conquense (1,911).

Guadalajara win41 %

Draw28 %

Conquense win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadalajara have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Conquense have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guadalajara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Marchamalo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Real Madrid II(home)	2-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Athletic Club II(away)	1-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 9, 2026	Arenteiro(home)	2-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026	Real Avilés(away)	2-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Conquense
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 31, 2026	UD Ourense(home)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 24, 2026	UD Ourense(away)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 17, 2026	Xerez(home)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026	Xerez(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Real Madrid III(away)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Guadalajara win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Conquense win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2025	Guadalajara 2-0 Conquense	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 10, 2024	Conquense 0-2 Guadalajara	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Feb 6, 2022	Conquense 2-2 Guadalajara	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Oct 9, 2021	Guadalajara 1-1 Conquense	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Feb 28, 2021	Guadalajara 1-0 Conquense	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Dec 5, 2020	Conquense 1-0 Guadalajara	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18

Last archived meeting: Guadalajara vs Conquense on Mar 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Guadalajara score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Conquense score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Guadalajara	1.5	1.3	4	9/15	7/15
Conquense	1.1	0.9	6	5/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Conquense	34	16	12	6	42	30	60

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Guadalajara vs Conquense?: The Footlab model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Conquense.
Where and when is Guadalajara vs Conquense played?: Guadalajara vs Conquense is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pedro Escartín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.