Conquense vs Guadalajara: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, Cuenca
The Footlab AI model makes Conquense the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Guadalajara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Conquense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Conquense vs Guadalajara?
On Elo ratings, Conquense has 1,882 points and Guadalajara 1,822.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Conquense vs Guadalajara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Conquense
Not enough data to predict the Conquense lineup.
Guadalajara
Not enough data to predict the Guadalajara lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Conquense have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Guadalajara have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Albacete II(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Numancia(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Conquense win, 2 draws, 3 Guadalajara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | Guadalajara 2-0 Conquense | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Conquense 0-2 Guadalajara | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 6, 2022 | Conquense 2-2 Guadalajara | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 9, 2021 | Guadalajara 1-1 Conquense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Feb 28, 2021 | Guadalajara 1-0 Conquense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Conquense 1-0 Guadalajara | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Guadalajara vs Conquense on Mar 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Conquense score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conquense | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Guadalajara | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Conquense sit 5th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (10 points from 5 matches) and Guadalajara sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Conquense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Guadalajara | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Conquense vs Guadalajara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Conquense vs Guadalajara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Conquense the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Guadalajara.
- Where and when is Conquense vs Guadalajara played?
- Conquense vs Guadalajara is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 15, 2026NavalcarnerovsGetafe II
- Nov 15, 2026Gimnástica SegovianavsReal Ávila
- Nov 15, 2026SS ReyesvsAtlético Astorga
- Nov 15, 2026Real Valladolid IIvsNumancia
- Nov 15, 2026Salamanca UDSvsAlbacete II
- Nov 15, 2026RSD AlcalávsA Madrid III
- Nov 15, 2026Atlético TordesillasvsCalamocha
- Nov 15, 2026Calvo SotelovsCF Talavera