Where and when is Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Ávila played?

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Ávila is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Ávila: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, Segovia

Gimnástica Segoviana

Real Ávila

The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Segoviana the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Real Ávila. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Ávila?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Gimnástica Segoviana (1,846) and Real Ávila (1,893).

Gimnástica Segoviana win40 %

Draw27 %

Real Ávila win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnástica Segoviana have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Real Ávila have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gimnástica Segoviana
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Rayo Majadahonda(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026	RSD Alcalá(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Unionistas de Salamanca(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Atlético Madrid II(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026	Valladolid(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

Real Ávila
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 12, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Unionistas de Salamanca(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	0-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Racing Santander II(away)	1-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026	Gimnástica Segoviana(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gimnástica Segoviana win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Real Ávila win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Real Ávila 2-1 Gimnástica Segoviana	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 19, 2025	Gimnástica Segoviana 1-0 Real Ávila	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Jul 29, 2023	Gimnástica Segoviana 1-2 Real Ávila	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 20, 2022	Gimnástica Segoviana 2-1 Real Ávila	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2021	Real Ávila 1-2 Gimnástica Segoviana	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 30, 2021	Real Ávila 1-3 Gimnástica Segoviana	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Real Ávila vs Gimnástica Segoviana on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gimnástica Segoviana score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Ávila score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gimnástica Segoviana	0.8	1.3	3	6/15	6/15
Real Ávila	1.6	1.7	5	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Ávila?: The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Segoviana the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Real Ávila.
Where and when is Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Ávila played?: Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Ávila is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.