Where and when is Real Valladolid II vs Numancia played?

Real Valladolid II vs Numancia is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo 1 Anexos del José Zorrilla hierba natural, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Valladolid II vs Numancia: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo 1 Anexos del José Zorrilla hierba natural, Valladolid

Real Valladolid II

Numancia

The Footlab model makes Numancia the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Real Valladolid II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Valladolid II vs Numancia?

A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Real Valladolid II (1,888) and Numancia (1,942).

Real Valladolid II win36 %

Draw25 %

Numancia win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Valladolid II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Numancia have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Valladolid II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 12, 2026	Leganés II(home)	3-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Real Madrid III(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Burgos Promesas(home)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(away)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026	Langreo(home)	3-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Numancia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Zaragoza(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026	Poblense(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026	Poblense(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Marino de Luanco(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Langreo(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Real Valladolid II win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Numancia win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 7, 2026	Real Valladolid II 1-1 Numancia	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 2, 2025	Numancia 3-1 Real Valladolid II	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 27, 2025	Real Valladolid II 1-3 Numancia	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Dec 15, 2024	Numancia 3-1 Real Valladolid II	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Feb 21, 2021	Real Valladolid II 1-1 Numancia	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 28, 2020	Numancia 2-2 Real Valladolid II	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Real Valladolid II vs Numancia on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Valladolid II score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Numancia score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Real Valladolid II	2.1	1.5	4	9/15	9/15
Numancia	1.3	0.9	4	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Valladolid II vs Numancia?: The Footlab model makes Numancia the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Real Valladolid II.
Where and when is Real Valladolid II vs Numancia played?: Real Valladolid II vs Numancia is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo 1 Anexos del José Zorrilla hierba natural, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.