Match

Calvo Sotelo vs CF Talavera: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano, Puertollano

Calvo SoteloCF Talavera

The Footlab model makes Calvo Sotelo the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for CF Talavera. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs CF Talavera?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Calvo Sotelo (1,937) and CF Talavera (1,897).

Calvo Sotelo win50 %
Draw27 %
CF Talavera win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calvo Sotelo have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; CF Talavera have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Calvo Sotelo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026La Solana(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 3, 2026Toledo(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 26, 2026Cazalegas(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 19, 2026Huracán Balazote(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 12, 2026Guadalajara II(home)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
CF Talavera
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Getafe II(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026Illescas(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Cacereño(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Ourense CF(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 10, 2026Osasuna II(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Calvo Sotelo score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; CF Talavera score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Calvo Sotelo1.70.687/156/15
CF Talavera0.90.949/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2024-25 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3CF Talavera341996502766

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Calvo Sotelo vs CF Talavera?
The Footlab model makes Calvo Sotelo the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for CF Talavera.
Where and when is Calvo Sotelo vs CF Talavera played?
Calvo Sotelo vs CF Talavera is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Calvo Sotelo and CF Talavera

Ready to know everything about football?