Chapecoense-sc vs Palmeiras: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Arena Condá, Chapecó, Santa Catarina
The Footlab AI model makes Palmeiras the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Chapecoense-sc. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,938 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Palmeiras?
Palmeiras is a heavy favourite: 2,004 Elo points against 1,673, a 331-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chapecoense-sc vs Palmeiras
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chapecoense-sc
4-2-3-1- 9Túlio
- 88Yago Felipe
- 31Garcez
- 10Giovanni Augusto
- 27Camilo
- 7Marcinho
- 21Kauan Faria Gomes
- 91Bruno Pacheco
- 3Doma
- 20Bruno Tubarão
- 98Anderson
Palmeiras
3-4-2-1- 9Vitor Roque
- 30Lucas Evangelista
- 42J. López
- 8Andreas Pereira
- 22J. Piquerez
- 12Khellven
- 4A. Giay
- 2A. Barboza
- 26Murilo
- 15G. Gómez
- 1Carlos Miguel
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 10:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chapecoense-sc have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Palmeiras have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Botafogo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Vitoria(away) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atletico-MG(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Fluminense(away) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 4-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Bahia(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gremio(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Chapecoense-sc wins, 0 draws, 6 Palmeiras wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Palmeiras 1-0 Chapecoense-sc | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Chapecoense-sc 0-2 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Jun 6, 2021 | Palmeiras 3-1 Chapecoense-sc | Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2019 | Palmeiras 1-0 Chapecoense-sc | Serie A |
| Jun 2, 2019 | Chapecoense-sc 1-2 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Chapecoense-sc 1-2 Palmeiras | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Palmeiras vs Chapecoense-sc on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chapecoense-sc score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Palmeiras score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense-sc | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Palmeiras | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chapecoense-sc sit 20th in Serie A (18 points from 30 matches) and Palmeiras sit 2nd (66 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 54 | 22 | 66 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 62 | 18 |
A question about Chapecoense-sc vs Palmeiras?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chapecoense-sc vs Palmeiras?
- The Footlab AI model makes Palmeiras the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Chapecoense-sc.
- Where and when is Chapecoense-sc vs Palmeiras played?
- Chapecoense-sc vs Palmeiras is played on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Condá, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.