Chapecoense-sc vs Palmeiras: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Arena Condá, Chapecó, Santa Catarina
The Footlab model makes Palmeiras the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Chapecoense-sc. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Palmeiras?
Palmeiras starts as the favourite with a 287-point Elo edge (2,126 vs 1,839).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chapecoense-sc have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Palmeiras have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bahia(home) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Coritiba(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 4-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Cerro Porteno(away) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fluminense(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cerro Porteno(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Internacional(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Chapecoense-sc win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Palmeiras win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Palmeiras 1-0 Chapecoense-sc | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Chapecoense-sc 0-2 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Jun 6, 2021 | Palmeiras 3-1 Chapecoense-sc | Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2019 | Palmeiras 1-0 Chapecoense-sc | Serie A |
| Jun 2, 2019 | Chapecoense-sc 1-2 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Chapecoense-sc 1-2 Palmeiras | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Palmeiras vs Chapecoense-sc on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chapecoense-sc score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Palmeiras score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense-sc | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Palmeiras | 2.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chapecoense-sc sit 20th in Serie A (14 points from 23 matches) and Palmeiras sit 1st (51 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 51 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 46 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chapecoense-sc vs Palmeiras?
- The Footlab model makes Palmeiras the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Chapecoense-sc.
- Where and when is Chapecoense-sc vs Palmeiras played?
- Chapecoense-sc vs Palmeiras is played on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Condá, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.