Cove Rangers vs Formartine United: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Balmoral Stadium, Aberdeen
The Footlab model makes Cove Rangers the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Formartine United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cove Rangers vs Formartine United?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Cove Rangers (1,564) and Formartine United (1,639).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cove Rangers have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Formartine United have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Dundee United II(home) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Peterhead(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stirling Albion(away) | 2-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | East Fife(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Keith(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rothes(away) | 4-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dundee II(home) | 4-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Huntly(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Cove Rangers win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Formartine United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2024 | Cove Rangers 2-0 Formartine United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Cove Rangers 3-0 Formartine United | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Cove Rangers vs Formartine United on Jul 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Cove Rangers score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Formartine United score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cove Rangers | 1.3 | 2.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Formartine United | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cove Rangers vs Formartine United?
- The Footlab model makes Cove Rangers the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Formartine United.
- Where and when is Cove Rangers vs Formartine United played?
- Cove Rangers vs Formartine United is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Balmoral Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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