Match

Cove Rangers vs Formartine United: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Balmoral Stadium, Aberdeen

Cove RangersFormartine United

The Footlab model makes Cove Rangers the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Formartine United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cove Rangers vs Formartine United?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Cove Rangers (1,564) and Formartine United (1,639).

Cove Rangers win44 %
Draw23 %
Formartine United win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cove Rangers have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Formartine United have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cove Rangers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Dundee United II(home)2-0Challenge Cup
Aug 22, 2026Peterhead(home)3-0League One
Aug 15, 2026East Kilbride(away)0-3League One
Aug 11, 2026Stirling Albion(away)2-4Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026East Fife(away)0-2League One
Formartine United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Keith(home)4-1Football League - Highland League
Aug 19, 2026Rothes(away)4-2Football League - Highland League
Aug 15, 2026Invergordon(away)2-1Football League - Highland League
Aug 11, 2026Dundee II(home)4-1Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Huntly(home)2-2Football League - Highland League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Cove Rangers win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Formartine United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 9, 2024Cove Rangers 2-0 Formartine UnitedFriendlies Clubs
Jul 1, 2023Cove Rangers 3-0 Formartine UnitedFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Cove Rangers vs Formartine United on Jul 9, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Cove Rangers score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Formartine United score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cove Rangers1.32.246/1510/15
Formartine United1.81.149/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cove Rangers vs Formartine United?
The Footlab model makes Cove Rangers the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Formartine United.
Where and when is Cove Rangers vs Formartine United played?
Cove Rangers vs Formartine United is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Balmoral Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cove Rangers and Formartine United

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