Coventry vs Nottingham Forest: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry, West Midlands
The Footlab AI model makes Coventry the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Nottingham Forest. The most likely score is 1-1. If Coventry wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coventry vs Nottingham Forest?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Coventry (2,072) and Nottingham Forest (2,146).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Coventry vs Nottingham Forest
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Coventry
4-2-3-1- 49S. Cherif
- 6M. Grimes
- 5J. Rudoni
- 10E. Mason-Clark
- 8Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
- 23B. Thomas-Asante
- 4B. Thomas
- 3J. Dasilva
- 2E. Pinnock
- 27M. van Ewijk
- 19C. Rushworth
Nottingham Forest
3-4-2-1- 19L. Delap
- 3N. Williams
- 10M. Gibbs-White
- 14D. Ndoye
- 24J. McAtee
- 21X. Schlager
- 27D. Muñoz
- 5Murillo
- 2O. Diomande
- 34O. Aina
- 26M. Sels
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coventry have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Nottingham Forest have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Coventry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Coventry wins, 0 draws, 3 Nottingham Forest wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nottingham Forest 0-1 Coventry | Premier League |
| Jul 8, 2022 | Nottingham Forest 1-3 Coventry | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 6, 2022 | Nottingham Forest 2-0 Coventry | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2021 | Coventry 2-1 Nottingham Forest | Championship |
| Feb 2, 2021 | Coventry 1-2 Nottingham Forest | Championship |
| Nov 4, 2020 | Nottingham Forest 2-1 Coventry | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Nottingham Forest vs Coventry on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Coventry score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nottingham Forest score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Nottingham Forest | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coventry sit 14th in Premier League (6 points from 6 matches) and Nottingham Forest sit 15th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Coventry vs Nottingham Forest?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coventry vs Nottingham Forest?
- The Footlab AI model makes Coventry the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Nottingham Forest.
- Where and when is Coventry vs Nottingham Forest played?
- Coventry vs Nottingham Forest is played on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Coventry Building Society Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.