Piast Gliwice vs Korona Kielce: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice
The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Korona Kielce. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Korona Kielce?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Piast Gliwice (1,917) and Korona Kielce (1,947).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Piast Gliwice have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Korona Kielce have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 4-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Piast Gliwice win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Korona Kielce win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Korona Kielce 1-1 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Piast Gliwice 0-0 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Piast Gliwice 1-1 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Korona Kielce 0-2 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Piast Gliwice 3-0 Korona Kielce | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 5, 2024 | Korona Kielce 1-1 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piast Gliwice | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Korona Kielce | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Piast Gliwice sit 14th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 5 matches) and Korona Kielce sit 11th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Piast Gliwice vs Korona Kielce?
- The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Korona Kielce.
- Where and when is Piast Gliwice vs Korona Kielce played?
- Piast Gliwice vs Korona Kielce is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Wisla PlockvsLegia Warszawa
- Nov 21, 2026Zaglebie LubinvsGornik Zabrze
- Nov 21, 2026Pogon SzczecinvsSlask Wroclaw
- Nov 21, 2026Cracovia KrakowvsJagiellonia
- Nov 21, 2026GKS KatowicevsLech Poznan
- Nov 21, 2026Raków CzęstochowavsWidzew Łódź
- Nov 21, 2026Radomiak RadomvsWisla Krakow
- Nov 21, 2026Wieczysta KrakówvsMotor Lublin