Match

Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Łódź: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, Częstochowa

Raków CzęstochowaWidzew Łódź

The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Widzew Łódź. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Łódź?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Raków Częstochowa (2,033) and Widzew Łódź (1,968).

Raków Częstochowa win50 %
Draw25 %
Widzew Łódź win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Raków Częstochowa have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Widzew Łódź have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Raków Częstochowa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026HNK Hajduk Split(away)2-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026Cracovia Krakow(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026Hammarby FF(away)1-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026Hammarby FF(home)0-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026Slask Wroclaw(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Widzew Łódź
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Slask Wroclaw(away)3-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Korona Kielce(home)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026Jagiellonia(away)2-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026Wisla Plock(away)0-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026Motor Lublin(home)2-2Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Raków Częstochowa win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Widzew Łódź win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2026Raków Częstochowa 1-1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
Sep 28, 2025Widzew Łódź 0-1 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
May 24, 2025Raków Częstochowa 2-1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
Nov 30, 2024Widzew Łódź 2-3 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
Apr 27, 2024Widzew Łódź 0-1 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
Oct 29, 2023Raków Częstochowa 1-1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Łódź on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Widzew Łódź score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Raków Częstochowa1.71.359/1510/15
Widzew Łódź1.50.976/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Raków Częstochowa sit 18th in Ekstraklasa (0 points from 3 matches) and Widzew Łódź sit 9th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Widzew Łódź5131876
18Raków Częstochowa3003360

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Łódź?
The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Widzew Łódź.
Where and when is Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Łódź played?
Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Łódź is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Raków Częstochowa and Widzew Łódź

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