Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Łódź: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, Częstochowa
The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Widzew Łódź. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Łódź?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Raków Częstochowa (2,033) and Widzew Łódź (1,968).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Raków Częstochowa have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Widzew Łódź have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hammarby FF(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hammarby FF(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 3-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Korona Kielce(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wisla Plock(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Raków Częstochowa win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Widzew Łódź win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa 1-1 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Widzew Łódź 0-1 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| May 24, 2025 | Raków Częstochowa 2-1 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Widzew Łódź 2-3 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Widzew Łódź 0-1 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Raków Częstochowa 1-1 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Łódź on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Widzew Łódź score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Widzew Łódź | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Raków Częstochowa sit 18th in Ekstraklasa (0 points from 3 matches) and Widzew Łódź sit 9th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Widzew Łódź | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Łódź?
- The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Widzew Łódź.
- Where and when is Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Łódź played?
- Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Łódź is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Wisla PlockvsLegia Warszawa
- Nov 21, 2026Zaglebie LubinvsGornik Zabrze
- Nov 21, 2026Pogon SzczecinvsSlask Wroclaw
- Nov 21, 2026Piast GliwicevsKorona Kielce
- Nov 21, 2026Cracovia KrakowvsJagiellonia
- Nov 21, 2026GKS KatowicevsLech Poznan
- Nov 21, 2026Radomiak RadomvsWisla Krakow
- Nov 21, 2026Wieczysta KrakówvsMotor Lublin