Match

Pogon Szczecin vs Slask Wroclaw: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin

Pogon SzczecinSlask Wroclaw

The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Slask Wroclaw. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Slask Wroclaw?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Pogon Szczecin (1,991) and Slask Wroclaw (1,958).

Pogon Szczecin win49 %
Draw25 %
Slask Wroclaw win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogon Szczecin have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Slask Wroclaw have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogon Szczecin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wisla Krakow(home)2-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026Motor Lublin(home)3-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026Cracovia Krakow(away)2-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026Legia Warszawa(home)0-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 15, 2026Sturm Graz(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Slask Wroclaw
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Widzew Łódź(home)3-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Zaglebie Lubin(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026Cracovia Krakow(home)0-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026Raków Częstochowa(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026Gornik Zabrze(away)1-2Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pogon Szczecin win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Slask Wroclaw win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2025Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa
Sep 1, 2024Pogon Szczecin 5-3 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
Feb 11, 2024Slask Wroclaw 0-1 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa
Aug 30, 2023Pogon Szczecin 0-2 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
Feb 5, 2023Pogon Szczecin 0-2 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
Jul 24, 2022Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin on Mar 7, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Slask Wroclaw score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pogon Szczecin1.41.347/158/15
Slask Wroclaw2.11.1510/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogon Szczecin sit 5th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Slask Wroclaw sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Pogon Szczecin4211747
12Slask Wroclaw5122785

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogon Szczecin vs Slask Wroclaw?
The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Slask Wroclaw.
Where and when is Pogon Szczecin vs Slask Wroclaw played?
Pogon Szczecin vs Slask Wroclaw is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pogon Szczecin and Slask Wroclaw

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