Pogon Szczecin vs Slask Wroclaw: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin
The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Slask Wroclaw. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Slask Wroclaw?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Pogon Szczecin (1,991) and Slask Wroclaw (1,958).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogon Szczecin have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Slask Wroclaw have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 3-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pogon Szczecin win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Slask Wroclaw win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Pogon Szczecin 5-3 Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Slask Wroclaw 0-1 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 30, 2023 | Pogon Szczecin 0-2 Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Pogon Szczecin 0-2 Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2022 | Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin on Mar 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Slask Wroclaw score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogon Szczecin | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Slask Wroclaw | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pogon Szczecin sit 5th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Slask Wroclaw sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pogon Szczecin vs Slask Wroclaw?
- The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Slask Wroclaw.
- Where and when is Pogon Szczecin vs Slask Wroclaw played?
- Pogon Szczecin vs Slask Wroclaw is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Wisla PlockvsLegia Warszawa
- Nov 21, 2026Zaglebie LubinvsGornik Zabrze
- Nov 21, 2026Piast GliwicevsKorona Kielce
- Nov 21, 2026Cracovia KrakowvsJagiellonia
- Nov 21, 2026GKS KatowicevsLech Poznan
- Nov 21, 2026Raków CzęstochowavsWidzew Łódź
- Nov 21, 2026Radomiak RadomvsWisla Krakow
- Nov 21, 2026Wieczysta KrakówvsMotor Lublin