Match

Shrewsbury vs Port Vale: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury, Shropshire

ShrewsburyPort Vale

The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Shrewsbury. The most likely score is 1-1. If Port Vale wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,935 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Shrewsbury vs Port Vale?

Port Vale starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,764 vs 1,617).

29%28%43%
Shrewsbury winDrawPort Vale win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Shrewsbury vs Port Vale

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Shrewsbury

3-4-1-2
  1. 9G. Lloyd
  2. 13J. Davison
  1. 10T. Sang
  2. 11K. Berkoe
  3. 18K. M. Brown
  4. 2L. Hoole
  5. 7J. Turner-Cooke
  1. 6S. Stubbs
  2. 5W. Boyle
  3. 3J. Ruffels
  1. 1William Michael Brook

Port Vale

3-5-2
  1. 11O. Hernández
  2. 36M. Watters
  1. 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
  2. 3J. Headley
  3. 33G. Hall
  4. 7G. Byers
  5. 10K. Dempsey
  1. 25C. Humphreys
  2. 4J. Moon
  3. 5C. Hall
  1. 20M. Maroši

Computed on November 8, 2026 at 07:14 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shrewsbury have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Port Vale have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Shrewsbury
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Eastleigh(away)2-1FA Cup
Oct 31, 2026Gillingham(home)1-2League Two
Oct 27, 2026Everton U21(home)2-1EFL Trophy
Oct 24, 2026Rotherham(away)3-3League Two
Oct 20, 2026Crawley Town(away)3-2League Two
Port Vale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Scunthorpe(home)4-2FA Cup
Oct 31, 2026Rochdale(home)4-2League Two
Oct 27, 2026Manchester City U21(home)5-0EFL Trophy
Oct 24, 2026York(away)0-2League Two
Oct 20, 2026Gillingham(away)1-1League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Shrewsbury wins, 0 draws, 3 Port Vale wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 9, 2024Port Vale 1-2 ShrewsburyLeague One
Nov 25, 2023Shrewsbury 2-1 Port ValeLeague One
Feb 11, 2023Shrewsbury 3-2 Port ValeLeague One
Sep 20, 2022Shrewsbury 0-4 Port ValeEFL Trophy
Sep 17, 2022Port Vale 2-1 ShrewsburyLeague One
Sep 3, 2019Port Vale 2-1 ShrewsburyEFL Trophy

Last archived meeting: Port Vale vs Shrewsbury on Mar 9, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Shrewsbury score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Port Vale score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Shrewsbury1.31.528/158/15
Port Vale1.51.066/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Shrewsbury sit 15th in League Two (18 points from 14 matches) and Port Vale sit 19th (15 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Shrewsbury14536172218
19Port Vale12435101415

A question about Shrewsbury vs Port Vale?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Shrewsbury vs Port Vale?
The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Shrewsbury.
Where and when is Shrewsbury vs Port Vale played?
Shrewsbury vs Port Vale is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Croud Meadow, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Shrewsbury and Port Vale

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