Newport County vs Oldham: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Rodney Parade, Casnewydd
The Footlab AI model makes Newport County the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Oldham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newport County wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newport County vs Oldham?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Newport County (1,809) and Oldham (1,778).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newport County vs Oldham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newport County
4-2-3-1- 27C. Doidge
- 10H. Biggins
- 6C. Brennan
- 24M. Dibley-Dias
- 23M. Adu-Poku
- 9S. Gwengwe
- 22C. Norman
- 5L. Jenkins
- 4K. Cameron
- 16M. Jacob
- 1J. Wright
Oldham
4-2-3-1- 9M. Fondop-Talum
- 8O. Norburn
- 7K. Appiah-Forson
- 10C. Kavanagh
- 14N. Chilvers
- 17F. Fawunmi
- 24L. Temple
- 3J. Robson
- 2G. Scott-Morriss
- 6E. Monthe
- 1M. Hudson
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newport County have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Oldham have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 2-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 4-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Newport County wins, 1 draw, 2 Oldham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Newport County 3-2 Oldham | League Two |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Oldham 3-0 Newport County | League Two |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Newport County 2-0 Oldham | FA Cup |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Newport County 3-3 Oldham | League Two |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Oldham 0-1 Newport County | League Two |
| Jan 23, 2021 | Oldham 3-2 Newport County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Newport County vs Oldham on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newport County score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Oldham score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport County | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Oldham | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newport County sit 12th in League Two (13 points from 10 matches) and Oldham sit 21st (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 21 | Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Newport County vs Oldham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newport County vs Oldham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newport County the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Oldham.
- Where and when is Newport County vs Oldham played?
- Newport County vs Oldham is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Rodney Parade, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.