Match

Exeter City vs Rochdale: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St James Park, Exeter, Devon

Exeter CityRochdale

The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Exeter City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rochdale wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Exeter City vs Rochdale?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Exeter City (1,824) and Rochdale (1,909).

35%28%37%
Exeter City winDrawRochdale win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Exeter City vs Rochdale

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Exeter City

4-2-3-1
  1. 10J. Gordon
  1. 16C. Cummins
  2. 31J. Doyle-Hayes
  3. 8T. Perry
  4. 20George Birch
  5. 25A. Scully
  1. 5J. Fitzwater
  2. 3L. Woodhouse
  3. 2L. Samuel
  4. 6J. Taylor
  1. 1J. Bycroft

Rochdale

4-2-3-1
  1. 39D. Brown
  1. 17B. Adeeko
  2. 8H. Gilmour
  3. 21Kane Taylor
  4. 45G. Middleton
  5. 7C. Hayes
  1. 3Kaiden Wilson
  2. 2C. Tasker
  3. 44A. Flint
  4. 13O. Adebayo-Rowling
  1. 1Nils Ramming

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 02:11 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Exeter City have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Rochdale have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Exeter City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Shrewsbury(away)1-0League Two
Oct 6, 2026Oxford United(home)2-2EFL Trophy
Oct 3, 2026Rotherham(home)1-0League Two
Sep 26, 2026Bristol Rovers(away)0-1League Two
Sep 22, 2026Cheltenham(away)2-2EFL Trophy
Rochdale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Tranmere(away)1-1League Two
Oct 6, 2026Huddersfield(away)0-5EFL Trophy
Oct 3, 2026Swindon Town(home)1-0League Two
Sep 26, 2026Fleetwood Town(away)2-1League Two
Sep 22, 2026Liverpool U21(home)3-3EFL Trophy

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Exeter City wins, 1 draw, 3 Rochdale wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 23, 2022Exeter City 2-0 RochdaleLeague Two
Nov 27, 2021Rochdale 1-1 Exeter CityLeague Two
Feb 22, 2014Exeter City 0-1 RochdaleLeague Two
Nov 23, 2013Rochdale 3-1 Exeter CityLeague Two
Apr 1, 2013Exeter City 1-2 RochdaleLeague Two
Dec 8, 2012Rochdale 2-3 Exeter CityLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Exeter City vs Rochdale on Apr 23, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Exeter City score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rochdale score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Exeter City0.90.965/153/15
Rochdale1.21.847/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Exeter City sit 14th in League Two (12 points from 10 matches) and Rochdale sit 10th (14 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Rochdale10424111214
14Exeter City103346612

A question about Exeter City vs Rochdale?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Exeter City vs Rochdale?
The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Exeter City.
Where and when is Exeter City vs Rochdale played?
Exeter City vs Rochdale is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at St James Park, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Exeter City and Rochdale

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