Crawley Town vs Tranmere: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Broadfield Stadium, Crawley, West Sussex
The Footlab AI model makes Crawley Town the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Tranmere. The most likely score is 1-1. If Crawley Town wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crawley Town vs Tranmere?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Crawley Town (1,728) and Tranmere (1,734).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crawley Town vs Tranmere
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crawley Town
4-4-2- 9D. Orsi
- 8L. Watson
- 20J. Arthurs
- 22A. Adeyemo
- 30Kai Jennings
- 10S. Duke-McKenna
- 6P. Farquharson
- 24A. Odimayo
- 5C. Barker
- 12L. Richards
- 1V. Mannone
Tranmere
4-2-3-1- 29D. Jones
- 10T. Ince
- 6W. Vaulks
- 7Charlie Jay Whitaker
- 11T. Conlon
- 17Z. Okoro
- 2J. Senior
- 3J. Slater
- 5N. Smith
- 30G. Nevett
- 12H. Male
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crawley Town have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Tranmere have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 4-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Crawley Town wins, 0 draws, 3 Tranmere wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Tranmere 2-0 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Crawley Town 0-2 Tranmere | League Two |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Tranmere 1-3 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Crawley Town 3-2 Tranmere | League Two |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Crawley Town 2-1 Tranmere | League Two |
| Feb 28, 2023 | Tranmere 1-0 Crawley Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Tranmere vs Crawley Town on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crawley Town score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tranmere score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Tranmere | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crawley Town sit 24th in League Two (5 points from 8 matches) and Tranmere sit 13th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 5 |
A question about Crawley Town vs Tranmere?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crawley Town vs Tranmere?
- The Footlab AI model makes Crawley Town the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Tranmere.
- Where and when is Crawley Town vs Tranmere played?
- Crawley Town vs Tranmere is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Broadfield Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.