Gillingham vs Grimsby: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Grimsby the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Gillingham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Grimsby wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gillingham vs Grimsby?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Gillingham (1,790) and Grimsby (1,870).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gillingham vs Grimsby
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gillingham
3-4-3- 10Ronan Hale
- 24H. Waldock
- 11L. Sillah
- 16J. Brophy
- 22N. Freeman
- 14R. McKenzie
- 8A. Little
- 5A. Smith
- 26L. Dobbs
- 19O. Beckles
- 40R. Luthra
Grimsby
4-1-4-1- 39A. Cook
- 4K. Green
- 30C. Vernam
- 28F. Cartwright
- 14J. Amaluzor
- 15G. Turi
- 3J. Sweeney
- 5H. Rodgers
- 17C. McJannet
- 2M. Kacurri
- 31C. Pym
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gillingham have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Grimsby have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Brighton U21(home) | 4-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | York(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Burton Albion(home) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Notts County(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Gillingham wins, 2 draws, 4 Grimsby wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Gillingham 1-4 Grimsby | League Two |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Grimsby 1-0 Gillingham | League Two |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Grimsby 1-1 Gillingham | League Two |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Gillingham 0-1 Grimsby | League Two |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Gillingham 1-1 Grimsby | League Two |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Grimsby 2-0 Gillingham | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Gillingham vs Grimsby on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gillingham score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Grimsby score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillingham | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Grimsby | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gillingham sit 4th in League Two (16 points from 10 matches) and Grimsby sit 11th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 16 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
A question about Gillingham vs Grimsby?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gillingham vs Grimsby?
- The Footlab AI model makes Grimsby the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Gillingham.
- Where and when is Gillingham vs Grimsby played?
- Gillingham vs Grimsby is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Priestfield Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.