Northampton vs Colchester: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Sixfields Stadium, Northampton, East Midlands
The Footlab AI model makes Northampton the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Colchester. The most likely score is 1-1. If Northampton wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,732 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Northampton vs Colchester?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Northampton (1,720) and Colchester (1,778).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Northampton vs Colchester
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Northampton
4-4-2- 19O. Dale
- 9Matthew Warhurst
- 16J. Wormleighton
- 4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
- 8L. Evans
- 24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
- 6E. Moore
- 5J. Guthrie
- 22Joshua Alan Powell
- 44J. Donacien
- 1Z. Jeacock
Colchester
4-2-3-1- 9B. Ihionvien
- 12M. Sesay
- 26J. Williams
- 27O. Thorn
- 6P. Digby
- 15B. Lubala
- 3E. Iandolo
- 5J. Tucker
- 2R. Hunt
- 24F. Terry
- 22T. Lo-Tutala
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Northampton have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Colchester have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Luton(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 1-3 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Northampton wins, 0 draws, 2 Colchester wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Colchester 0-1 Northampton | League Two |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Northampton 3-2 Colchester | League Two |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Northampton 3-0 Colchester | League Two |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Colchester 0-1 Northampton | League Two |
| Aug 24, 2019 | Colchester 1-0 Northampton | League Two |
| Feb 2, 2019 | Northampton 0-4 Colchester | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Colchester vs Northampton on Feb 25, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Northampton score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Colchester score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Colchester | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Northampton sit 22nd in League Two (10 points from 9 matches) and Colchester sit 20th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Colchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| 22 | Northampton | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Northampton vs Colchester?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Northampton vs Colchester?
- The Footlab AI model makes Northampton the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Colchester.
- Where and when is Northampton vs Colchester played?
- Northampton vs Colchester is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Sixfields Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.