Cheltenham vs Newport County: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Completely-Suzuki Stadium, Cheltenham, Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Cheltenham the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Newport County. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cheltenham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,930 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cheltenham vs Newport County?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Cheltenham (1,784) and Newport County (1,806).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cheltenham vs Newport County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cheltenham
4-1-4-1- 18A. Weimann
- 26J. Shipley
- 19J. Evans
- 8C. McCann
- 33F. Willcox
- 7B. Stevenson
- 25P. Sweeney
- 6J. Wilson
- 3J. Tomkinson
- 17S. McWilliams
- 23W. Stanway
Newport County
4-2-3-1- 9S. Gwengwe
- 10H. Biggins
- 6C. Brennan
- 24M. Dibley-Dias
- 23M. Adu-Poku
- 20Y. Bamba
- 22C. Norman
- 5L. Jenkins
- 4K. Cameron
- 16M. Jacob
- 1J. Wright
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cheltenham have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Newport County have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | York(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Cheltenham wins, 0 draws, 1 Newport County win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cheltenham 1-0 Newport County | League Two |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Newport County 0-2 Cheltenham | League Two |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Newport County 0-3 Cheltenham | League Two |
| Sep 3, 2024 | Newport County 1-2 Cheltenham | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Cheltenham 3-2 Newport County | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2023 | Cheltenham 0-2 Newport County | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Cheltenham vs Newport County on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cheltenham score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Newport County score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Newport County | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cheltenham sit 5th in League Two (18 points from 12 matches) and Newport County sit 12th (15 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cheltenham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 22 | 18 |
| 12 | Newport County | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
A question about Cheltenham vs Newport County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cheltenham vs Newport County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cheltenham the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Newport County.
- Where and when is Cheltenham vs Newport County played?
- Cheltenham vs Newport County is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Completely-Suzuki Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.