Croatia vs Spain: result 1-2 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 4Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Poljud, Split
Full time
What was the result of Croatia vs Spain?
Spain won 1-2 on October 6, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 17′I. PerišićCroatia
- 61′Mikel MerinoSpain
- 88′Mikel MerinoSpain
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Spain win at 74%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 0-2. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Croatia vs Spain
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Croatia
4-5-1- 20I. Matanović
- 14I. Perišić
- 8M. Kovačić
- 18K. Jakić
- 10L. Modrić
- 13N. Vlašić
- 4J. Gvardiol
- 5L. Vušković
- 6J. Šutalo
- 2J. Stanišić
- 1D. Livaković
Spain
4-2-3-1- 21Mikel Oyarzabal
- 15Álex Baena
- 10Dani Olmo
- 19Lamine Yamal
- 20Pedri
- 16Rodri
- 22Marc Cucurella
- 14Aymeric Laporte
- 5Pau Cubarsí Paredes
- 12Marc Pubill
- 23Unai Simón
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Croatia have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Spain have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | England(home) | 0-7 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Spain(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Czechia(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Portugal(away) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Ghana(home) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Czechia(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Croatia(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | England(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Argentina(home) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Jul 14, 2026 | France(away) | 2-0 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Croatia win, 1 draw, 4 Spain wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Spain 4-1 Croatia | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Spain 3-0 Croatia | Euro Championship |
| Jun 18, 2023 | Croatia 0-0 Spain | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 28, 2021 | Croatia 3-5 Spain | Euro Championship |
| Nov 15, 2018 | Croatia 3-2 Spain | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Spain 6-0 Croatia | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Croatia score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Spain score 2.1 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Spain | 2.1 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Croatia sit 3rd in UEFA Nations League (3 points from 4 matches) and Spain sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 3 |
A question about Croatia vs Spain?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy