Wales vs Denmark: result 0-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 4Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Cardiff City Stadium, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Wales vs Denmark?
Denmark won 0-1 on October 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 75′R. HøjlundDenmark (pen.)
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Denmark win at 48%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Wales vs Denmark
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Wales
4-2-3-1- 9L. Koumas
- 19S. Thomas
- 10L. Cullen
- 11B. Johnson
- 5E. Ampadu
- 17J. James
- 15J. Dasilva
- 4B. Davies
- 6B. Cabango
- 3N. Williams
- 12D. Ward
Denmark
4-4-2- 7Victor Mow Froholdt
- 9R. Højlund
- 20M. Daramy
- 23P. Højbjerg
- 21M. Hjulmand
- 8G. Isaksen
- 5J. Mæhle
- 3O. Provstgaard
- 2J. Andersen
- 13R. Kristensen
- 16M. Hermansen
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wales have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Denmark have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Norway(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Denmark(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Portugal(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Romania(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Ghana(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Portugal(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Wales(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Norway(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Ukraine(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Congo DR(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Wales wins, 0 draws, 4 Denmark wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Denmark 2-0 Wales | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 26, 2021 | Wales 0-4 Denmark | Euro Championship |
| Nov 16, 2018 | Wales 1-2 Denmark | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Denmark 2-0 Wales | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Wales score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Denmark score 2.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Denmark | 2.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wales sit 3rd in UEFA Nations League (3 points from 4 matches) and Denmark sit 2nd (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
A question about Wales vs Denmark?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy