Portugal vs Norway: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 4Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
Full time
What was the result of Portugal vs Norway?
Portugal won 2-1 on October 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 36′K. AjerNorway
- 38′João CanceloPortugal
- 79′Gonçalo RamosPortugal
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Portugal win at 59%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-1. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Portugal vs Norway
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Portugal
4-1-3-2- 11João Félix
- 9Gonçalo Ramos
- 8Bruno Fernandes
- 23Vitinha
- 14Francisco Conceição
- 6João Palhinha
- 19Nuno Mendes
- 13Renato Veiga
- 3Rúben Dias
- 20João Cancelo
- 1Diogo Costa
Norway
4-2-3-1- 9E. Haaland
- 20A. Nusa
- 10M. Ødegaard
- 21A. Schjelderup
- 6P. Berg
- 8S. Berge
- 5D. Møller Wolfe
- 4L. Østigård
- 3K. Ajer
- 7F. Aursnes
- 13E. Selvik
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portugal have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Norway have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Denmark(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Norway(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Wales(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Spain(home) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Croatia(home) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Wales(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Portugal(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Denmark(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | England(home) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Brazil(away) | 2-1 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Portugal win, 0 draws, 0 Norway wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Norway 1-2 Portugal | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Portugal score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Norway score 2.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal | 2.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Norway | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portugal sit 1st in UEFA Nations League (12 points from 4 matches) and Norway sit 4th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
A question about Portugal vs Norway?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy