France vs Belgium: result 4-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 4Kick-off on October 5, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Groupama Stadium, Saint-Denis
Full time
What was the result of France vs Belgium?
France won 4-1 on October 5, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 35′D. LukebakioBelgium
- 77′D. DouéFrance
- 81′R. CherkiFrance
- 88′M. OliseFrance
- 90′M. OliseFrance
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a France win at 63%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-1. Actual score: 4-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for France vs Belgium
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
France
4-3-3- 12B. Barcola
- 19E. Lepaul
- 7O. Dembélé
- 8M. Koné
- 6E. Camavinga
- 18M. Akliouche
- 13A. Diouf
- 17M. Lacroix
- 15L. Yoro
- 5J. Koundé
- 1G. Restes
Belgium
4-2-3-1- 9R. Lukaku
- 19Diego Moreira
- 20H. Vanaken
- 14D. Lukebakio
- 6R. Lavia
- 23N. Raskin
- 18J. Seys
- 4B. Mechele
- 15N. Ngoy
- 21T. Castagne
- 12M. Vandevoordt
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, France have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Belgium have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Italy(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Belgium(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Türkiye(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | England(home) | 4-6 | World Cup |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Spain(home) | 0-2 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Türkiye(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | France(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Italy(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Spain(away) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jul 7, 2026 | USA(away) | 4-1 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 France wins, 0 draws, 0 Belgium wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Belgium 0-1 France | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 14, 2024 | Belgium 1-2 France | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 9, 2024 | France 2-0 Belgium | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 1, 2024 | France 1-0 Belgium | Euro Championship |
| Oct 7, 2021 | Belgium 2-3 France | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 10, 2018 | France 1-0 Belgium | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
France score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Belgium score 2.7 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Belgium | 2.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
France sit 1st in UEFA Nations League (10 points from 4 matches) and Belgium sit 3rd (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
A question about France vs Belgium?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy