Match

Unionistas II vs Turégano: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Unionistas IITurégano

The Footlab model makes Unionistas II the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Turégano. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unionistas II vs Turégano?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Unionistas II (1,704) and Turégano (1,735).

Unionistas II win44 %
Draw28 %
Turégano win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unionistas II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Turégano have 1, 0 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unionistas II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Guijuelo(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Numancia II(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Cristo Atlético(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Villaralbo(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 19, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Turégano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2023Celta Vigo(home)0-4Copa del Rey
Oct 12, 2023Santurtzi(home)3-1Copa del Rey
Oct 19, 2022Velarde(away)0-1Copa del Rey

How many goals should we expect?

Unionistas II score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Turégano score 1.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Unionistas II1.61.348/159/15
Turégano1.02.001/32/3

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Unionistas II3461315324331

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unionistas II vs Turégano?
The Footlab model makes Unionistas II the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Turégano.
Where and when is Unionistas II vs Turégano played?
Unionistas II vs Turégano is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Unionistas II and Turégano

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