Where and when is Atlético Mansillés vs Mirandés II played?

Atlético Mansillés vs Mirandés II is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Atlético Mansillés vs Mirandés II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, Mansilla de las Mulas

Atlético Mansillés

Mirandés II

The Footlab model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Mirandés II. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Mansillés vs Mirandés II?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Atlético Mansillés (1,781) and Mirandés II (1,753).

Atlético Mansillés win47 %

Draw29 %

Mirandés II win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Mansillés have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Mirandés II have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Mansillés
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Cultural Leonesa II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Mojados(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Almazán(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 23, 2026	Almazán(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Palencia CF(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Mirandés II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Villaralbo(home)	4-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Arandina(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026	Colegios Diocesanos(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Bembibre(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026	Unionistas II(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Atlético Mansillés win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Mirandés II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 7, 2026	Mirandés II 0-0 Atlético Mansillés	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 25, 2025	Atlético Mansillés 1-0 Mirandés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 12, 2025	Mirandés II 3-3 Atlético Mansillés	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 23, 2024	Atlético Mansillés 0-2 Mirandés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Mirandés II vs Atlético Mansillés on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Mansillés score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mirandés II score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Atlético Mansillés	0.9	0.9	7	5/15	3/15
Mirandés II	1.3	1.5	2	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atlético Mansillés sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (57 points from 34 matches) and Mirandés II sit 8th (47 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Atlético Mansillés	34	15	12	7	31	27	57
8	Mirandés II	34	13	8	13	43	35	47

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Mansillés vs Mirandés II?: The Footlab model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Mirandés II.
Where and when is Atlético Mansillés vs Mirandés II played?: Atlético Mansillés vs Mirandés II is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.