Match

Villaralbo vs Salamanca II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Los Barreros, Villaralbo

VillaralboSalamanca II

The Footlab model makes Villaralbo the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Salamanca II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Villaralbo vs Salamanca II?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Villaralbo (1,729) and Salamanca II (1,773).

Villaralbo win43 %
Draw30 %
Salamanca II win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villaralbo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Salamanca II have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Villaralbo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Mirandés II(away)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Unionistas II(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Guijuelo(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026Cultural Leonesa II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Salamanca II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 22, 2023Real Ávila(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 16, 2023Unami(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 8, 2023Ponferradina II(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 2, 2023Arandina(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 25, 2023Atlético Astorga(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

How many goals should we expect?

Villaralbo score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Salamanca II score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Villaralbo1.11.248/156/15
Salamanca II1.30.775/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Villaralbo3411914293742

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Villaralbo vs Salamanca II?
The Footlab model makes Villaralbo the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Salamanca II.
Where and when is Villaralbo vs Salamanca II played?
Villaralbo vs Salamanca II is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Los Barreros, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Villaralbo and Salamanca II

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