Villaralbo vs Salamanca II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Los Barreros, Villaralbo
The Footlab model makes Villaralbo the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Salamanca II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villaralbo vs Salamanca II?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Villaralbo (1,729) and Salamanca II (1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villaralbo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Salamanca II have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Mirandés II(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2023 | Real Ávila(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Unami(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Ponferradina II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Arandina(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
How many goals should we expect?
Villaralbo score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Salamanca II score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villaralbo | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Salamanca II | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29 | 37 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villaralbo vs Salamanca II?
- The Footlab model makes Villaralbo the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Salamanca II.
- Where and when is Villaralbo vs Salamanca II played?
- Villaralbo vs Salamanca II is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Los Barreros, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 27, 2026GuijuelovsBembibre
- Sep 27, 2026ArandinavsCalasanz de Soria
- Sep 27, 2026Cultural Leonesa IIvsBurgos Promesas
- Sep 27, 2026La Virgen del CaminovsCristo Atlético
- Sep 27, 2026Colegios DiocesanosvsAlmazán
- Sep 27, 2026Atlético MansillésvsMirandés II
- Sep 27, 2026Palencia CFvsUD Santa Marta
- Sep 27, 2026Unionistas IIvsTurégano