La Virgen del Camino vs Cristo Atlético: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Los Dominicos, La Virgen Del Camino
The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for La Virgen del Camino. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Virgen del Camino vs Cristo Atlético?
Cristo Atlético starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,866 vs 1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Virgen del Camino have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Cristo Atlético have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mojados(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 1, 2026 | Almazán(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Palencia CF(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Becerril Campos(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 17, 2026 | Palencia CF(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 10, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 La Virgen del Camino win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Cristo Atlético win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Cristo Atlético 0-1 La Virgen del Camino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | La Virgen del Camino 0-2 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 11, 2025 | La Virgen del Camino 5-1 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Cristo Atlético 2-0 La Virgen del Camino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 6, 2024 | La Virgen del Camino 1-0 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Cristo Atlético 3-1 La Virgen del Camino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Cristo Atlético vs La Virgen del Camino on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
La Virgen del Camino score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cristo Atlético score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Virgen del Camino | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Cristo Atlético | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Virgen del Camino sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (44 points from 34 matches) and Cristo Atlético sit 3rd (68 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cristo Atlético | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 68 |
| 9 | La Virgen del Camino | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 37 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Virgen del Camino vs Cristo Atlético?
- The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for La Virgen del Camino.
- Where and when is La Virgen del Camino vs Cristo Atlético played?
- La Virgen del Camino vs Cristo Atlético is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Los Dominicos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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