Match

Zamora vs Mérida AD: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 28Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora

ZamoraMérida AD

The Footlab AI model makes Zamora the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Mérida AD. The most likely score is 1-1. If Zamora wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zamora vs Mérida AD?

On Elo ratings, Zamora has 1,984 points and Mérida AD 1,885.

53%26%21%
Zamora winDrawMérida AD win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Zamora vs Mérida AD

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Zamora

4-3-3
  1. 7Javier Carbonell
  2. 20I. Incera
  3. 19Pau Mascaró
  1. 10Carlos Ramos
  2. 21A. Hidalgo
  3. 11J. Sancho
  1. 5Aleix Gorjón
  2. 18Iago Indias
  3. 3Luismi Luengo
  4. 23Eudald Vergés
  1. 1Iker Piedra

Mérida AD

4-3-3
  1. 21Raúl Beneit
  2. 19D. Sandoval
  3. 11S. El Ftouhi
  1. 6Jota
  2. 23Geovanny Almeida
  3. 8Martín Solar
  1. 2Alejandro Agustín
  2. 4Gonzalez Nacho
  3. 16Fito
  4. 5Hugo Sanz
  1. 1A. Csenterics

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:12 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zamora have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Mérida AD have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zamora
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Mirandes(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026CD Coria(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Extremadura 1924(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Lugo(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026Arenas Getxo(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Mérida AD
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Pontevedra(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Cacereño(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026UD Logroñés(home)3-5Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Ponferradina(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 12, 2026Mirandes(home)3-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Zamora win, 0 draws, 1 Mérida AD win.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 8, 2026Mérida AD 2-0 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 28, 2025Zamora 3-0 Mérida ADPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Mérida AD vs Zamora on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Zamora score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mérida AD score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Zamora1.11.157/156/15
Mérida AD1.11.926/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zamora sit 7th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (11 points from 7 matches) and Mérida AD sit 12th (9 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Zamora73229711
12Mérida AD730411129

A question about Zamora vs Mérida AD?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zamora vs Mérida AD?
The Footlab AI model makes Zamora the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Mérida AD.
Where and when is Zamora vs Mérida AD played?
Zamora vs Mérida AD is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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