Where and when is Zamora vs Mérida AD played?

Zamora vs Mérida AD is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Zamora vs Mérida AD: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 28Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora

Zamora

Mérida AD

The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Mérida AD. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zamora vs Mérida AD?

Zamora starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,872).

Zamora win58 %

Draw24 %

Mérida AD win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zamora have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Mérida AD have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zamora
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Real Madrid II(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 19, 2026	Sabadell(away)	0-4	Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 13, 2026	Sabadell(home)	1-0	Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 7, 2026	Villarreal II(home)	2-0	Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
May 31, 2026	Villarreal II(away)	0-2	Primera División RFEF - Play Offs

Mérida AD
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Alcorcon(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 7, 2026	Leganes(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026	Al-Nassr(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Benfica B(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Osasuna II(away)	2-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Zamora win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Mérida AD win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 8, 2026	Mérida AD 2-0 Zamora	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 28, 2025	Zamora 3-0 Mérida AD	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Mérida AD vs Zamora on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Zamora score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mérida AD score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Zamora	1.4	1.1	6	6/15	8/15
Mérida AD	0.9	1.9	1	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zamora sit 3rd in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (61 points from 38 matches) and Mérida AD sit 10th (52 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Zamora	38	17	10	11	53	42	61
10	Mérida AD	38	14	10	14	47	53	52

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zamora vs Mérida AD?: The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Mérida AD.
Where and when is Zamora vs Mérida AD played?: Zamora vs Mérida AD is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.