UD Logroñés vs Racing Ferrol: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 28Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, Logroño
The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Racing Ferrol. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UD Logroñés vs Racing Ferrol?
UD Logroñés starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (2,043 vs 1,831).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Logroñés have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Racing Ferrol have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Huesca II(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Huesca(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 2-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Osasuna II(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 UD Logroñés win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Racing Ferrol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | UD Logroñés 1-2 Racing Ferrol | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Racing Ferrol 0-1 UD Logroñés | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: UD Logroñés vs Racing Ferrol on Apr 23, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
UD Logroñés score 2.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Ferrol score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD Logroñés | 2.0 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Racing Ferrol | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Racing Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 47 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UD Logroñés vs Racing Ferrol?
- The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Racing Ferrol.
- Where and when is UD Logroñés vs Racing Ferrol played?
- UD Logroñés vs Racing Ferrol is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.