UD Logroñés vs Racing Ferrol: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 28Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, Logroño
The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Racing Ferrol. The most likely score is 1-1. If UD Logroñés wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UD Logroñés vs Racing Ferrol?
UD Logroñés starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (2,072 vs 1,887).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for UD Logroñés vs Racing Ferrol
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
UD Logroñés
4-3-3- 21Ismael Santana
- 11Marcos Baselga
- 19I. Asenjo
- 14David Navarro
- 20Anai Morales
- 6Mario Maroto
- 3Sergio Camacho
- 5A. Alvarez
- 4Eduardo Cabetas
- 22Carlos García-Die
- 13Fermín Sobrón
Racing Ferrol
4-3-3- 10Dani Ojeda
- 19Roberto Arroyo
- 11Endika Bujan
- 6Fabio González
- 14Jesús Bernal
- 16Raúl Blanco
- 2Migue Leal
- 17Álvaro Ramón
- 4Germán Novoa
- 5Eric Monjonell
- 1Lucas Díaz
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Logroñés have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Racing Ferrol have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mérida AD(away) | 5-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barakaldo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Unión(home) | 3-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 UD Logroñés win, 0 draws, 1 Racing Ferrol win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | UD Logroñés 1-2 Racing Ferrol | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Racing Ferrol 0-1 UD Logroñés | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: UD Logroñés vs Racing Ferrol on Apr 23, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
UD Logroñés score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Ferrol score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD Logroñés | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Racing Ferrol | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UD Logroñés sit 2nd in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (16 points from 7 matches) and Racing Ferrol sit 3rd (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | UD Logroñés | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Racing Ferrol | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
A question about UD Logroñés vs Racing Ferrol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UD Logroñés vs Racing Ferrol?
- The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Racing Ferrol.
- Where and when is UD Logroñés vs Racing Ferrol played?
- UD Logroñés vs Racing Ferrol is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.