Match

Cumbernauld Colts vs East Fife: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Broadwood Stadium, Cumbernauld

Cumbernauld ColtsEast Fife

The Footlab model makes Cumbernauld Colts the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for East Fife. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cumbernauld Colts vs East Fife?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Cumbernauld Colts (1,544) and East Fife (1,603).

Cumbernauld Colts win48 %
Draw22 %
East Fife win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cumbernauld Colts have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; East Fife have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cumbernauld Colts
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Kilmarnock II(home)1-1Challenge Cup
Aug 22, 2026Dalbeattie Star(home)2-2Football League - Lowland League
Aug 15, 2026Gretna 2008(away)3-3Football League - Lowland League
Aug 11, 2026Queen of the South(away)0-4Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Auchinleck Talbot(away)0-1Football League - Lowland League
East Fife
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026St. Mirren U21(home)2-5Challenge Cup
Aug 22, 2026Hamilton Academical(home)0-0League One
Aug 15, 2026Peterhead(away)1-2League One
Aug 11, 2026Spartans(home)2-2Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Cove Rangers(home)2-0League One

How many goals should we expect?

Cumbernauld Colts score 2.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; East Fife score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cumbernauld Colts2.22.1111/1512/15
East Fife1.11.158/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cumbernauld Colts vs East Fife?
The Footlab model makes Cumbernauld Colts the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for East Fife.
Where and when is Cumbernauld Colts vs East Fife played?
Cumbernauld Colts vs East Fife is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Broadwood Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Cumbernauld Colts and East Fife

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