Where and when is Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton played?

Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Impact Arena, in the Non League Premier - Northern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Impact Arena, Alfreton, Derbyshire

Alfreton Town

Curzon Ashton

The Footlab model makes Alfreton Town the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Curzon Ashton. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Alfreton Town (1,717) and Curzon Ashton (1,710).

Alfreton Town win43 %

Draw26 %

Curzon Ashton win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alfreton Town have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Curzon Ashton have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alfreton Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Hyde United(home)	4-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026	Stockton Town(away)	0-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Cleethorpes Town(away)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Avro(home)	3-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Gainsborough Trinity(home)	2-1	Non League Premier - Northern

Curzon Ashton
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Warrington Town(away)	4-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026	Guiseley AFC(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Bamber Bridge(home)	2-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 14, 2026	AFC Emley(away)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Bury(away)	2-3	Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Alfreton Town win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Curzon Ashton win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Curzon Ashton 1-0 Alfreton Town	Non League Premier - Northern
Apr 25, 2026	Alfreton Town 3-3 Curzon Ashton	National League - North
Dec 6, 2025	Curzon Ashton 2-1 Alfreton Town	National League - North
Apr 18, 2025	Curzon Ashton 0-0 Alfreton Town	National League - North
Jan 1, 2025	Alfreton Town 0-1 Curzon Ashton	National League - North
Apr 6, 2024	Alfreton Town 0-0 Curzon Ashton	National League - North

Last archived meeting: Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alfreton Town score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Curzon Ashton score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alfreton Town	1.3	1.8	3	6/15	10/15
Curzon Ashton	1.3	1.9	4	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alfreton Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Northern (6 points from 5 matches) and Curzon Ashton sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Alfreton Town	5	2	0	3	6	6	6
16	Curzon Ashton	5	1	1	3	7	9	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton?: The Footlab model makes Alfreton Town the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Curzon Ashton.
Where and when is Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton played?: Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Impact Arena, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.