Match

Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernMatchday 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Impact Arena, Alfreton, Derbyshire

Alfreton TownCurzon Ashton

The Footlab AI model makes Curzon Ashton the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Alfreton Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Curzon Ashton wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,335 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton?

Curzon Ashton starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (2,051 vs 1,923).

28%26%46%
Alfreton Town winDrawCurzon Ashton win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Alfreton Town

Not enough data to predict the Alfreton Town lineup.

Curzon Ashton

4-3-3
  1. 9J. Spencer
  2. 7I. Buckley-Ricketts
  3. 17M. Afuye
  1. 4M. Poscha
  2. 11W. Hayhurst
  3. 11I. Sinclair
  1. 2Oluwatimilehin Sobowale
  2. 19J. Richards
  3. 15M. Litherland
  4. 3Luis Frances John Lacey
  1. 13J. Ollerenshaw

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 04:09 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alfreton Town have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Curzon Ashton have 11, 1 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alfreton Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Southport(home)0-1FA Trophy
Nov 10, 2026Workington(away)0-3Non League Premier - Northern
Nov 6, 2026Quorn(away)0-4Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 31, 2026AFC Emley(home)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 24, 2026Mickleover Sports(away)2-1FA Trophy
Curzon Ashton
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 10, 2026Ilkeston Town(home)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Nov 7, 2026Stockton Town(away)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Nov 3, 2026United of Manchester(home)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 31, 2026Leek Town(home)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 27, 2026Gainsborough Trinity(away)3-0Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Alfreton Town wins, 3 draws, 3 Curzon Ashton wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Curzon Ashton 1-0 Alfreton TownNon League Premier - Northern
Apr 25, 2026Alfreton Town 3-3 Curzon AshtonNational League - North
Dec 6, 2025Curzon Ashton 2-1 Alfreton TownNational League - North
Apr 18, 2025Curzon Ashton 0-0 Alfreton TownNational League - North
Jan 1, 2025Alfreton Town 0-1 Curzon AshtonNational League - North
Apr 6, 2024Alfreton Town 0-0 Curzon AshtonNational League - North

Last archived meeting: Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alfreton Town score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Curzon Ashton score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Alfreton Town1.11.537/158/15
Curzon Ashton1.80.977/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alfreton Town sit 12th in Non League Premier - Northern (23 points from 18 matches) and Curzon Ashton sit 2nd (37 points from 18 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Curzon Ashton181215321837
12Alfreton Town18729232523

A question about Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton?
The Footlab AI model makes Curzon Ashton the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Alfreton Town.
Where and when is Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton played?
Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Impact Arena, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Alfreton Town and Curzon Ashton