Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC)Jinzhou Stadium, Dalian
The Footlab model makes Dalian Zhixing the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Qingdao Jonoon. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Dalian Zhixing (1,539) and Qingdao Jonoon (1,463).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dalian Zhixing have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Qingdao Jonoon have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun(away) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Henan Jianye(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(away) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Qingdao Youth Island(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tianjin Teda(home) | 0-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Dalian Zhixing win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Qingdao Jonoon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 Dalian Zhixing | Super League |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Dalian Zhixing 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon | Super League |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Dalian Zhixing | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Qingdao Jonoon vs Dalian Zhixing on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dalian Zhixing score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Qingdao Jonoon score 1.2 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalian Zhixing | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
| Qingdao Jonoon | 1.2 | 2.5 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dalian Zhixing sit 3rd in Super League (22 points from 15 matches) and Qingdao Jonoon sit 14th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dalian Zhixing | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 22 |
| 4 | Dalian Zhixing | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 40 | 36 |
| 14 | Qingdao Jonoon | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 10 |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 46 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon?
- The Footlab model makes Dalian Zhixing the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Qingdao Jonoon.
- Where and when is Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon played?
- Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC) at Jinzhou Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Wuhan Three TownsvsQingdao Youth Island
- Sep 5, 2026SHANGHAI SIPGvsBeijing Guoan
- Sep 5, 2026Shandong LunengvsSichuan Jiuniu
- Sep 6, 2026Chongqing Tongliang LongvsShanghai Shenhua
- Sep 6, 2026Yunnan YukunvsShenyang Urban
- Sep 6, 2026Henan JianyevsChengdu Better City
- Sep 6, 2026Tianjin TedavsHangzhou Greentown