Shandong Luneng vs Sichuan Jiuniu: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Ji'nan
The Footlab model makes Shandong Luneng the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Sichuan Jiuniu. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shandong Luneng vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
Shandong Luneng starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,666 vs 1,504).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shandong Luneng have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Sichuan Jiuniu have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Qingdao Youth Island(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tianjin Teda(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Henan Jianye(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hangzhou Greentown(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(away) | 0-4 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun(away) | 3-4 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 5 Shandong Luneng win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sichuan Jiuniu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Sichuan Jiuniu 1-2 Shandong Luneng | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Sichuan Jiuniu 1-3 Shandong Luneng | Super League |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Shandong Luneng 4-0 Sichuan Jiuniu | Super League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Sichuan Jiuniu 1-4 Shandong Luneng | Super League |
| May 16, 2024 | Shandong Luneng 3-2 Sichuan Jiuniu | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shandong Luneng on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shandong Luneng score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sichuan Jiuniu score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Luneng | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Sichuan Jiuniu | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shandong Luneng sit 5th in Super League (18 points from 15 matches) and Sichuan Jiuniu sit 9th (17 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shandong Luneng | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 18 |
| 6 | Shandong Luneng | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 33 |
| 9 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 25 | 17 |
| 10 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 43 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shandong Luneng vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
- The Footlab model makes Shandong Luneng the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Sichuan Jiuniu.
- Where and when is Shandong Luneng vs Sichuan Jiuniu played?
- Shandong Luneng vs Sichuan Jiuniu is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Wuhan Three TownsvsQingdao Youth Island
- Sep 5, 2026Dalian ZhixingvsQingdao Jonoon
- Sep 5, 2026SHANGHAI SIPGvsBeijing Guoan
- Sep 6, 2026Chongqing Tongliang LongvsShanghai Shenhua
- Sep 6, 2026Yunnan YukunvsShenyang Urban
- Sep 6, 2026Henan JianyevsChengdu Better City
- Sep 6, 2026Tianjin TedavsHangzhou Greentown