Henan Jianye vs Chengdu Better City: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC)Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Zhengzhou
The Footlab model makes Henan Jianye the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Chengdu Better City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Henan Jianye vs Chengdu Better City?
Chengdu Better City starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,742 vs 1,586).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Henan Jianye have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Chengdu Better City have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(away) | 4-4 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(away) | 1-4 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Qingdao Youth Island(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(home) | 4-5 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hangzhou Greentown(away) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wuhan Three Towns(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Henan Jianye win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Chengdu Better City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Chengdu Better City 3-0 Henan Jianye | Super League |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Chengdu Better City 1-2 Henan Jianye | Super League |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Chengdu Better City 0-0 Henan Jianye | FA Cup |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Henan Jianye 3-2 Chengdu Better City | Super League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Henan Jianye 2-0 Chengdu Better City | Super League |
| May 10, 2024 | Chengdu Better City 4-2 Henan Jianye | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Chengdu Better City vs Henan Jianye on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Henan Jianye score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chengdu Better City score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henan Jianye | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Chengdu Better City | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Henan Jianye sit 11th in Super League (15 points from 15 matches) and Chengdu Better City sit 1st (37 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 13 | 37 |
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 48 |
| 11 | Henan Jianye | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 15 |
| 13 | Henan Jianye | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 33 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Henan Jianye vs Chengdu Better City?
- The Footlab model makes Henan Jianye the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Chengdu Better City.
- Where and when is Henan Jianye vs Chengdu Better City played?
- Henan Jianye vs Chengdu Better City is played on September 6, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC) at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Wuhan Three TownsvsQingdao Youth Island
- Sep 5, 2026Dalian ZhixingvsQingdao Jonoon
- Sep 5, 2026SHANGHAI SIPGvsBeijing Guoan
- Sep 5, 2026Shandong LunengvsSichuan Jiuniu
- Sep 6, 2026Chongqing Tongliang LongvsShanghai Shenhua
- Sep 6, 2026Yunnan YukunvsShenyang Urban
- Sep 6, 2026Tianjin TedavsHangzhou Greentown