Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC)Yuxi plateau Sports Center Stadium, Yuxi
The Footlab model makes Yunnan Yukun the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Shenyang Urban. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Yunnan Yukun (1,615) and Shenyang Urban (1,529).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yunnan Yukun have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Shenyang Urban have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(away) | 3-3 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chengdu Better City(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tianjin Teda(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sichuan Jiuniu(home) | 4-3 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Henan Jianye(home) | 4-4 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sichuan Jiuniu(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Qingdao Youth Island(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Yunnan Yukun win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Shenyang Urban win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Shenyang Urban 1-2 Yunnan Yukun | Super League |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Shenyang Urban 2-1 Yunnan Yukun | League One |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Yunnan Yukun 5-0 Shenyang Urban | League One |
Last archived meeting: Shenyang Urban vs Yunnan Yukun on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yunnan Yukun score 2.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Shenyang Urban score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yunnan Yukun | 2.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Shenyang Urban | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yunnan Yukun sit 4th in Super League (21 points from 15 matches) and Shenyang Urban sit 8th (17 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 21 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 35 |
| 8 | Shenyang Urban | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 23 | 17 |
| 12 | Shenyang Urban | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 39 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban?
- The Footlab model makes Yunnan Yukun the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Shenyang Urban.
- Where and when is Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban played?
- Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban is played on September 6, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC) at Yuxi plateau Sports Center Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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