SHANGHAI SIPG vs Beijing Guoan: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC)Yuanshen Sports Centre Stadium, Shanghai
The Footlab model makes Beijing Guoan the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for SHANGHAI SIPG. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SHANGHAI SIPG vs Beijing Guoan?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate SHANGHAI SIPG (1,681) and Beijing Guoan (1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SHANGHAI SIPG have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Beijing Guoan have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wuhan Three Towns(away) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(away) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun(home) | 3-3 | Super League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(away) | 3-0 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tianjin Teda(away) | 4-2 | Super League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sichuan Jiuniu(home) | 4-0 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hangzhou Greentown(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SHANGHAI SIPG win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Beijing Guoan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Beijing Guoan 2-2 SHANGHAI SIPG | Super League |
| Mar 1, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG 0-2 Beijing Guoan | Super Cup |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Beijing Guoan 2-3 SHANGHAI SIPG | Super League |
| May 1, 2025 | SHANGHAI SIPG 1-2 Beijing Guoan | Super League |
| Jul 12, 2024 | SHANGHAI SIPG 5-1 Beijing Guoan | Super League |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Beijing Guoan 2-2 SHANGHAI SIPG | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Beijing Guoan vs SHANGHAI SIPG on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SHANGHAI SIPG score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Beijing Guoan score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHANGHAI SIPG | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Beijing Guoan | 2.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SHANGHAI SIPG sit 13th in Super League (12 points from 15 matches) and Beijing Guoan sit 10th (15 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 32 | 36 |
| 8 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 39 | 33 | 29 |
| 10 | Beijing Guoan | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 15 |
| 13 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SHANGHAI SIPG vs Beijing Guoan?
- The Footlab model makes Beijing Guoan the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for SHANGHAI SIPG.
- Where and when is SHANGHAI SIPG vs Beijing Guoan played?
- SHANGHAI SIPG vs Beijing Guoan is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC) at Yuanshen Sports Centre Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Wuhan Three TownsvsQingdao Youth Island
- Sep 5, 2026Dalian ZhixingvsQingdao Jonoon
- Sep 5, 2026Shandong LunengvsSichuan Jiuniu
- Sep 6, 2026Chongqing Tongliang LongvsShanghai Shenhua
- Sep 6, 2026Yunnan YukunvsShenyang Urban
- Sep 6, 2026Henan JianyevsChengdu Better City
- Sep 6, 2026Tianjin TedavsHangzhou Greentown