Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Tianjin Olympic Center Stadium, Tianjin
The Footlab model makes Tianjin Teda the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Hangzhou Greentown. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Tianjin Teda (1,583) and Hangzhou Greentown (1,587).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tianjin Teda have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Hangzhou Greentown have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wuhan Three Towns(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(home) | 2-4 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(away) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sichuan Jiuniu(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chengdu Better City(home) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tianjin Teda win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hangzhou Greentown win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Hangzhou Greentown 1-1 Tianjin Teda | Super League |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Hangzhou Greentown 2-0 Tianjin Teda | Super League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Tianjin Teda 2-0 Hangzhou Greentown | Super League |
| Jan 23, 2025 | Tianjin Teda 2-1 Hangzhou Greentown | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Tianjin Teda 3-2 Hangzhou Greentown | Super League |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Hangzhou Greentown 3-2 Tianjin Teda | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Hangzhou Greentown vs Tianjin Teda on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tianjin Teda score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hangzhou Greentown score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tianjin Teda | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Hangzhou Greentown | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tianjin Teda sit 16th in Super League (5 points from 15 matches) and Hangzhou Greentown sit 7th (17 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hangzhou Greentown | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 17 |
| 11 | Hangzhou Greentown | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34 | 40 | 25 |
| 14 | Tianjin Teda | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 18 |
| 16 | Tianjin Teda | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 21 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown?
- The Footlab model makes Tianjin Teda the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Hangzhou Greentown.
- Where and when is Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown played?
- Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown is played on September 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Tianjin Olympic Center Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Wuhan Three TownsvsQingdao Youth Island
- Sep 5, 2026Dalian ZhixingvsQingdao Jonoon
- Sep 5, 2026SHANGHAI SIPGvsBeijing Guoan
- Sep 5, 2026Shandong LunengvsSichuan Jiuniu
- Sep 6, 2026Chongqing Tongliang LongvsShanghai Shenhua
- Sep 6, 2026Yunnan YukunvsShenyang Urban
- Sep 6, 2026Henan JianyevsChengdu Better City