Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Wuhan Sports Center Stadium, Wuhan
The Footlab model makes Wuhan Three Towns the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Qingdao Youth Island. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Qingdao Youth Island starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (1,668 vs 1,471).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wuhan Three Towns have 2 wins, 9 draws and 4 defeats; Qingdao Youth Island have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tianjin Teda(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(home) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chengdu Better City(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Henan Jianye(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Wuhan Three Towns win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Qingdao Youth Island win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Qingdao Youth Island 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns | Super League |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 Qingdao Youth Island | Super League |
| Mar 3, 2025 | Qingdao Youth Island 2-0 Wuhan Three Towns | Super League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Wuhan Three Towns 1-3 Qingdao Youth Island | Super League |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Qingdao Youth Island 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Qingdao Youth Island vs Wuhan Three Towns on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wuhan Three Towns score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Qingdao Youth Island score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wuhan Three Towns | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Qingdao Youth Island | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wuhan Three Towns sit 15th in Super League (8 points from 15 matches) and Qingdao Youth Island sit 6th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Qingdao Youth Island | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 28 | 29 | 36 |
| 6 | Qingdao Youth Island | 15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 18 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 8 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island?
- The Footlab model makes Wuhan Three Towns the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Qingdao Youth Island.
- Where and when is Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island played?
- Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Wuhan Sports Center Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Dalian ZhixingvsQingdao Jonoon
- Sep 5, 2026SHANGHAI SIPGvsBeijing Guoan
- Sep 5, 2026Shandong LunengvsSichuan Jiuniu
- Sep 6, 2026Chongqing Tongliang LongvsShanghai Shenhua
- Sep 6, 2026Yunnan YukunvsShenyang Urban
- Sep 6, 2026Henan JianyevsChengdu Better City
- Sep 6, 2026Tianjin TedavsHangzhou Greentown