Dangjin Citizen vs Busan Transportation: prediction and stats
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Dangjin Stadium, Dangjin
The Footlab model makes Busan Transportation the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Dangjin Citizen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dangjin Citizen vs Busan Transportation?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Dangjin Citizen (1,632) and Busan Transportation (1,731).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dangjin Citizen have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Busan Transportation have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yeoju Sejong(home) | 1-2 | K3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Yeoju Sejong(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mokpo City(home) | 6-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors II(home) | 2-0 | K3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Changwon City(home) | 4-3 | K3 League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Yangpyeong(away) | 4-2 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Suwon Bluewings(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Siheung Citizen(away) | 2-0 | K3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Dangjin Citizen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Busan Transportation win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Busan Transportation 2-1 Dangjin Citizen | K3 League |
| Mar 30, 2023 | Busan Transportation 0-2 Dangjin Citizen | FA Cup |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Busan Transportation 3-0 Dangjin Citizen | K3 League |
| May 14, 2022 | Dangjin Citizen 0-0 Busan Transportation | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Busan Transportation vs Dangjin Citizen on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dangjin Citizen score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Busan Transportation score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dangjin Citizen | 2.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Busan Transportation | 2.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dangjin Citizen sit 5th in K3 League (28 points from 20 matches) and Busan Transportation sit 3rd (36 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Busan Transportation | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 36 |
| 4 | Busan Transportation | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 26 |
| 5 | Dangjin Citizen | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 28 |
| 8 | Dangjin Citizen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 23 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dangjin Citizen vs Busan Transportation?
- The Footlab model makes Busan Transportation the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Dangjin Citizen.
- Where and when is Dangjin Citizen vs Busan Transportation played?
- Dangjin Citizen vs Busan Transportation is played on September 13, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Dangjin Stadium, in the K3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.