Dangjin Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP: prediction and stats
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Dangjin Stadium, Dangjin
The Footlab model makes Dangjin Citizen the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Gyeongju HNP. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dangjin Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Dangjin Citizen (1,632) and Gyeongju HNP (1,665).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dangjin Citizen have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Gyeongju HNP have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yeoju Sejong(home) | 1-2 | K3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Yeoju Sejong(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mokpo City(home) | 6-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors II(home) | 2-0 | K3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yangpyeong(away) | 3-3 | K3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Siheung Citizen(home) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Cheongju(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Daejeon Korail(away) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Seosan Pioneer(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Dangjin Citizen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gyeongju HNP win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Gyeongju HNP 2-2 Dangjin Citizen | K3 League |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Gyeongju HNP 1-0 Dangjin Citizen | K3 League |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Dangjin Citizen 1-4 Gyeongju HNP | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Gyeongju HNP vs Dangjin Citizen on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dangjin Citizen score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gyeongju HNP score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dangjin Citizen | 2.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Gyeongju HNP | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dangjin Citizen sit 5th in K3 League (28 points from 20 matches) and Gyeongju HNP sit 8th (23 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dangjin Citizen | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 28 |
| 8 | Gyeongju HNP | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 27 | 23 |
| 8 | Dangjin Citizen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 23 | 18 |
| 10 | Gyeongju HNP | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dangjin Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP?
- The Footlab model makes Dangjin Citizen the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Gyeongju HNP.
- Where and when is Dangjin Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP played?
- Dangjin Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP is played on October 4, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Dangjin Stadium, in the K3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.