Mokpo City vs Busan Transportation: prediction and stats
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Mokpo International Football Center Main (Grass Ground A), Mokpo
The Footlab model makes Busan Transportation the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Mokpo City. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mokpo City vs Busan Transportation?
Busan Transportation starts as the favourite with a 225-point Elo edge (1,731 vs 1,506).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mokpo City have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Busan Transportation have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pocheon(away) | 0-2 | K3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dangjin Citizen(away) | 1-6 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Cheonan City(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Gangneung City(home) | 2-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Anseong(home) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Changwon City(home) | 4-3 | K3 League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Yangpyeong(away) | 4-2 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Suwon Bluewings(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Siheung Citizen(away) | 2-0 | K3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mokpo City win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Busan Transportation win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Busan Transportation 3-0 Mokpo City | K3 League |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Busan Transportation 2-1 Mokpo City | K3 League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Mokpo City 1-3 Busan Transportation | K3 League |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Busan Transportation 2-0 Mokpo City | K3 League |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Mokpo City 2-0 Busan Transportation | K3 League |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Mokpo City 2-0 Busan Transportation | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Busan Transportation vs Mokpo City on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mokpo City score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Busan Transportation score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mokpo City | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Busan Transportation | 2.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mokpo City sit 13th in K3 League (15 points from 19 matches) and Busan Transportation sit 3rd (36 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Busan Transportation | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 36 |
| 4 | Busan Transportation | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 26 |
| 12 | Mokpo City | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 12 |
| 13 | Mokpo City | 19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mokpo City vs Busan Transportation?
- The Footlab model makes Busan Transportation the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Mokpo City.
- Where and when is Mokpo City vs Busan Transportation played?
- Mokpo City vs Busan Transportation is played on October 4, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Mokpo International Football Center Main (Grass Ground A), in the K3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.