Siheung Citizen vs Changwon City: prediction and stats
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Jeongwang Sports Park, Siheung-si
The Footlab model makes Siheung Citizen the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Changwon City. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Siheung Citizen vs Changwon City?
Siheung Citizen starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,784 vs 1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siheung Citizen have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Changwon City have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Daejeon Korail(home) | 2-0 | K3 League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Asan Mugunghwa(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gyeongju HNP(away) | 0-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Daegu FC(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Busan Transportation(home) | 0-2 | K3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Busan Transportation(away) | 3-4 | K3 League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors II(home) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Gimhae City(home) | 1-5 | FA Cup |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Chuncheon(home) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Geumsan Insam(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Siheung Citizen win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Changwon City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Changwon City 1-1 Siheung Citizen | K3 League |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Siheung Citizen 2-0 Changwon City | K3 League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Changwon City 1-2 Siheung Citizen | K3 League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Siheung Citizen 1-0 Changwon City | K3 League |
| May 18, 2024 | Changwon City 2-2 Siheung Citizen | K3 League |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Changwon City 1-0 Siheung Citizen | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Siheung Citizen score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Changwon City score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siheung Citizen | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
| Changwon City | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Siheung Citizen sit 1st in K3 League (43 points from 19 matches) and Changwon City sit 6th (26 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung Citizen | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
| 1 | Siheung Citizen | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 11 | 39 |
| 5 | Changwon City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 23 |
| 6 | Changwon City | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Siheung Citizen vs Changwon City?
- The Footlab model makes Siheung Citizen the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Changwon City.
- Where and when is Siheung Citizen vs Changwon City played?
- Siheung Citizen vs Changwon City is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Jeongwang Sports Park, in the K3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.